#MOODENG 2025/6/14 #MOODENG $MOODENG Trend Analysis: downtrend (but recent oversold rebound signal appeared)

Core basis:
1. Price Structure:
From the peak of 0.22343 on June 10, it continuously fell to the low of 0.15045 on June 13, with a decline of 32.7%.
The latest closing price of 0.15940 is still below all EMA moving averages (fast line 0.167 < slow line 0.179), indicating a clear bearish arrangement.
2. MACD Indicator:
The histogram shows continuous negative values (latest -0.001815), but signs of a bottom divergence have appeared:
When the price hits a new low (0.15045), the MACD bars (-0.004349→-0.001815) and the DIF line (-0.011666) did not hit a new low.
DIF and DEA are still below the zero axis, but the downward momentum has weakened.
3. Trading Volume Characteristics:
During the fall, it was accompanied by a surge in volume (June 13th 00:00 72.45 million USDT).
The recent 4-hour rebound has seen a decrease in volume (13.68 million USDT), indicating a need to be cautious about the weakness of the rebound.
4. RSI Series Indicators:
RSI rebounded from the oversold zone of 24.83 to 32.25, still below the neutral level of 50.
StochRSI has a golden cross (K value of 46.55 crossing above D value of 28.77), short-term Rebound signal
Key Turning Point Observation:
Bullish reversal signal: If it breaks through 0.1648 (the high point on June 14 at 00:00) and is accompanied by increased volume, it may trigger a larger level rebound.
Short defense level: 0.1532 (June 13 04:00 low), falling below this will confirm the continuation of the downtrend.
Operation Suggestions:
1. Short-term traders can participate in the Rebound with a light position (stop loss below 0.1530)
2. Medium to long-term investors are advised to wait:
MACD bar turns positive + RSI breaks 50
The price stands firmly above the EMA fast line (currently 0.167).
The current market is in a technical rebound phase after being oversold, but there is still insufficient evidence to indicate a trend reversal. It is recommended to closely monitor whether the candlestick chart from 14:00 to 18:00 on June 14 can form higher highs and higher lows.