The analysis of #Bitcoin today is similar to yesterday. Essentially, if the price reaches 110k today, take short positions.. If it approaches 106k, take long positions!

Here are the technical details

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🧠 One-Day Trading Analysis #BTC June 11, 2025 019283746656574839201

1. Key Indicators

RSI (14-hr): ~75 — saturated, indicating short-term decline

MACD (1‑day): Bearish signal line crossover; Histogram weakness - Momentum decline

Bollinger Bands ( Daily ): The bands are narrowing near the upper band ( ~$110K ), low volatility before the breakout.

Volume: decreased compared to previous peaks - fading buying interest

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2. Price Structure and Candlestick Insights

Clear rejection candles at resistance ~ $112K — forming lower highs

Support levels have been identified at the $105K major area and the 0.236 Fibonacci level at $103K.

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3. High Probability Setup – Short Bias

Element Level / Range

Entry $110,000–110,300 (Reject)
Stop Loss $112,200 ( above the highest peak )
Target 1 $105,000
Goal 2 $103,000
R/R ratio T1 ≈ 2.25 : 1 • T2 ≈ 3.25 : 1

Trigger: Bearish MACD crossover + RSI overbought + Candle rejection near resistance.

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4. Alternative – long positions

Item Level / Range

Entry $105,200–105,500 (اختبار الدعم)
Stop Loss $104,800
Target 1 $108,000
Goal 2 $110,300
R/R ratio T1 ≈ 2.0 • T2 ≈ 3.0

Trigger: The hammer candle or bull candle rebounds from $105K, and the RSI cools down from the overbought.

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5. Market Sentiment and Macroeconomic Factors

Investor Sentiment: Hesitant — BTC is nearing its all-time high (~$112K), but lacks the catalyst for a new breakout.

Macroeconomic factors:

The release of U.S. inflation data is imminent - high volatility is expected.

Providing continuous trade tensions between the United States and China moments of incidental risks

Institutional flows: Continued accumulation, ETF activity remains stable.

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6. Overview of the Trading Plan

Basic Bias: Short — with specific levels and superior risk/reward ratio

Tactical note: Use tight sizes - BTC can still achieve fluctuations of 2-4% during the day.

Execution Guidelines: Consider a gradual exit at T1, and walk on the remaining stop.

Volatility Watchpoint: The US inflation report may exceed technical analyses.
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✅ Summary Table

SL T1 T2 R/R Entry Trading

short positions 110,000–110,300 112,200 105,000 103,000 2.3–3.3:1
long positions 105,200–105,500 104,800 108,000 110,300 2.0–3.0:1

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XT/Alert:

Monitor the confirmation of the trading volume on the entered candlestick

Monitor the timing of the US CPI report — increasing risks throughout the day

Be prepared to adapt if a sudden shift occurs in the macroeconomy.

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Bottom line:
It is preferable to set up short positions near 110K due to the alignment of RSI/MACD/Bollinger rejection. The bounce from 105K offers a counter trade with lower risk if confirmed by candle movement and momentum cooling. Hang and admire.