According to the official website, Polymarket predicts that the probability of “Musk will create a new political party within this year” is 16%, and the probability of predicting “Musk will create a new political party by the end of June” is 5%. These two probabilities are down 5% and 2% respectively from yesterday.
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Polymarket data: The probability of Musk creating a new political party this year has dropped to 16%.
According to the official website, Polymarket predicts that the probability of “Musk will create a new political party within this year” is 16%, and the probability of predicting “Musk will create a new political party by the end of June” is 5%. These two probabilities are down 5% and 2% respectively from yesterday.