📆 May 31 | The April PCE report just landed — and it could be a pivotal moment for the Fed, Wall Street, and crypto alike.
📊 The Numbers:
Headline PCE MoM: 📈 +0.2% (vs. +0.1% expected)
YoY: 📈 2.3% (vs. 2.2% expected)
Core PCE YoY: ⚠️ 2.8% (vs. 2.6% expected)
🔍 What It Means:
1. Sticky inflation persists — The "last mile" to 2% is proving stubborn.
2. Fed’s September cut? Odds just got murkier. Futures are now pricing in <40% chance of a cut.
3. Liquidity squeeze incoming? A hotter print reduces the case for easing, keeping liquidity tight — bad news for risk assets.
📉 Crypto on Edge:
BTC dropped ~2% immediately post-data, reflecting traders repositioning for a longer period of tight monetary policy.
Altcoins felt the heat more, with high-beta names selling off sharply.
🔮 The Big Question: Is this a temporary inflation blip or the start of a second wave? And more importantly — will this derail Bitcoin’s recovery, or has the market already digested the new macro reality?
💬 What’s your take?
Is the Fed done for the year?
Can BTC remain resilient even if the liquidity tide goes out?
👇 Share your views in the comments — the macro game just got more interesting.
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🚨 PCE Data Is In — What Now for Markets & Crypto?
📆 May 31 | The April PCE report just landed — and it could be a pivotal moment for the Fed, Wall Street, and crypto alike.
📊 The Numbers:
Headline PCE MoM: 📈 +0.2% (vs. +0.1% expected)
YoY: 📈 2.3% (vs. 2.2% expected)
Core PCE YoY: ⚠️ 2.8% (vs. 2.6% expected)
🔍 What It Means:
1. Sticky inflation persists — The "last mile" to 2% is proving stubborn.
2. Fed’s September cut? Odds just got murkier. Futures are now pricing in <40% chance of a cut.
3. Liquidity squeeze incoming? A hotter print reduces the case for easing, keeping liquidity tight — bad news for risk assets.
📉 Crypto on Edge:
BTC dropped ~2% immediately post-data, reflecting traders repositioning for a longer period of tight monetary policy.
Altcoins felt the heat more, with high-beta names selling off sharply.
🔮 The Big Question:
Is this a temporary inflation blip or the start of a second wave?
And more importantly — will this derail Bitcoin’s recovery, or has the market already digested the new macro reality?
💬 What’s your take?
Is the Fed done for the year?
Can BTC remain resilient even if the liquidity tide goes out?
👇 Share your views in the comments — the macro game just got more interesting.