"The market never provides you with a 'comfortable and perfect' position; most of the time, it is filled with contradictions and uncertainties."
What traders need to do is not to seek a "one-size-fits-all" solution, nor is it to find the "simplest path"; rather, it is to recognize that this discomfort is itself a part of trading. Focus on a few positions that meet your logic and odds requirements, repeatedly take action to gain a probability advantage, and make money (or lose money) without predicting the market. One of the traps that many traders (including myself) easily fall into is the need to find a reason for every rise and fall.
The rise and fall of reality often does not require a reason. Even if you can dig out a bunch of factors that seem "relevant", the results in the long term may be positively correlated, negatively correlated, or may not be related at all.
Furthermore, even if you find the reasons for price fluctuations, it doesn't mean you can make money from it.
The market is not about writing papers; it relies on long-term rhythm, control, adjustment, and execution, rather than the ability to explain.
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"The market never provides you with a 'comfortable and perfect' position; most of the time, it is filled with contradictions and uncertainties."
What traders need to do is not to seek a "one-size-fits-all" solution, nor is it to find the "simplest path"; rather, it is to recognize that this discomfort is itself a part of trading.
Focus on a few positions that meet your logic and odds requirements, repeatedly take action to gain a probability advantage, and make money (or lose money) without predicting the market.
One of the traps that many traders (including myself) easily fall into is the need to find a reason for every rise and fall.
The rise and fall of reality often does not require a reason. Even if you can dig out a bunch of factors that seem "relevant", the results in the long term may be positively correlated, negatively correlated, or may not be related at all.
Furthermore, even if you find the reasons for price fluctuations, it doesn't mean you can make money from it.
The market is not about writing papers; it relies on long-term rhythm, control, adjustment, and execution, rather than the ability to explain.