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According to on-chain analyst Yu Jin's monitoring, "recently, the whales that have shorted ETH multiple times at the highest price have a win rate of 0:"
He borrowed 5,000 ETH (12.45 million USD) from Aave in the last 50 minutes and then shorted at the highest price of 2,491 USD.
His last short at the highest price of 10,000 ETH was fortunate as he bought it back before the ETH surged, only losing 430,000 USD. If he hadn't closed it, he would be facing a loss of 7 million USD now.