Based on the real-time market data of Ethereum (ETH) on May 6, 2025 (current price $1,791.80, EMA30 resistance $1,809.70, MACD short positions dominant), combined with technical indicators and volume-price structure, the following precise strategy for 1 hour is formulated:

Core strategy and points
1. Resistance level for short positions
- Entry conditions: Price rebounds to 1,805-1,810 USD (EMA30 + MA26 overlapping resistance), combined with 1-hour MACD histogram contraction or KDJ overbought (K > 50).
- Target: Pull back to $1,790-$1,795 (EMA5 support), break below to look for $1,780 (daily low).
- Stop loss: set above $1,815 to guard against false breakouts.

2. Support level rebound to go long
- Entry conditions: Price falls back to stabilize in the range of $1,780-$1,785 (daily EMA60 support + on-chain liquidation zone), combined with RSI<30 or bottom divergence signal.
- Target: Rebound to $1,795-$1,805 (EMA10 resistance), take profit in batches after breaking through.
- Stop-loss: set strictly below $1,775, risk ≤3%.

3. Breakthrough short positions
- Entry conditions: Price breaks below $1,780 (strong intraday support), confirmed by 1-hour close and volume > 35 million USDT.
- Target: A drop to $1,760-$1,750 (psychological level + Fibonacci extension), breaking down to look for $1,730.
- Stop loss: dynamically move up to above $1,790 to protect profits.

Key Signals and Risk Control
- MACD Momentum: Current MACD bar -0.92 (short positions continue), DIF ( -3.79) crosses below DEA ( -2.87) deepening the decline, a rebound requires volume support.
- KDJ Indicator: J value 57.5 (neutral to bearish), if the price rebounds to $1,805 it may face resistance and fall back.
- BTC correlation: If Bitcoin falls below $83,000, ETH may accelerate its correction; if it holds above $84,500, it may drive ETH to rebound to $1,800.
- On-chain risk: The current price of ETH is approaching the maximum pain point of $1,780 for options. If it falls below $1,775, it may trigger liquidations exceeding $320 million.

Position and Discipline
- Total position: ≤40%, single leverage ≤2 times (reduce risk in high volatility).
- Stop-loss discipline: Break above $1,815 or MACD histogram turns positive and continues to expand, exit immediately.
- Replenishment plan: If the price sharply drops below $1,760 (weekly support), 20% of the funds can be reserved for incremental bottom-fishing.

Summary
ETH is currently in a short positions dominated range (1,780-1,810 USD), primarily focusing on high shorts with some low longs. A light short position can be attempted at the resistance of 1,805 USD, and if it breaks below 1,780 USD, follow the downward trend to short. Pay attention to oversold area technical rebound signals, strictly set stop losses, and avoid trading against the trend. #Gate.io 币种上新