ETH daily chart Depth Analysis (SCDO_AI Report) — Key Decision Points Under Long and Short Interweaving (April 9)

1. Technical Indicator Multi-Dimensional Analysis

1. Trend and Momentum Indicators

• MACD (12,26,9):

  • DIF：-257.691 (below the zero line)
  • DEA: Value not provided (but DIF is significantly negative, suggesting DEA is also below the zero axis)
  • Conclusion: The bearish momentum is strong, and the trend is weak. Attention should be paid to the shortening of the green bars to determine potential reversal signals.

• EMA Combination：

  • EMA30：$1,816.6
  • EMA200：$2,717.8
  • Conclusion: The price is well below the EMA30 and EMA200, indicating that both the long-term and short-term trends are downward.

2. Oscillation and Volume Indicators

• RSI (14): 25.28 (oversold zone)

  • Conclusion: The market may experience a technical rebound, but other indicators are needed for confirmation.

2. Key Support and Resistance

3. Multi-period Resonance Analysis

1. Daily Level:

   • Trend: Bearish dominance, price below major moving averages.
   • Momentum: RSI has entered the oversold zone, a rebound may occur, but confirmation from other indicators is needed.

2. 4-hour level:

   • RSI: May be in the oversold zone, need to observe if a bottom divergence forms.
   • Bollinger Bands: The price may touch the lower band; pay attention to whether a reversal signal appears.

3. Weekly Level:

   • Trend: The long-term trend is bearish, and attention should be paid to whether a bottom structure forms.

4. Macroeconomics and On-Chain Drivers

1. Macroeconomic Events:

   • Federal Reserve Policy: Recent economic data that may be released, such as CPI, will affect market sentiment.
   • Regulatory Dynamics: Attention should be paid to the regulatory stance of major global economies towards cryptocurrencies.

2. On-chain data:

   • Whale Movements: It is necessary to monitor the buying and selling behavior of large holding addresses to determine market trends.
   • Exchange Inflow and Outflow: Monitor the net inflow or outflow of ETH on exchanges to assess the market supply and demand.

V. Tomorrow’s (April 10) Trend Forecast

Scenario 1: Continued Decline (Probability 50%)

• Trigger Condition: The price has failed to hold above the $1,410 support level.
  • Macroeconomic data is bearish, and market risk aversion is rising.
• Target Price: $1,380 (secondary support level).

Scenario 2: Technical Rebound (Probability 30%)

• Trigger Conditions: * RSI remains in the oversold zone, triggering bottom-buying pressure.
  • The giant whale address shows signs of net buying.
• Target Level: $1,550 (Key Resistance Level).

Scenario 3: Consolidation (Probability 20%)

• Trigger Condition: * The market lacks a clear direction, and trading volume remains persistently low.
  • Investors are cautious.
• Volatility Range: 1,410−1,550.

6. Operating Strategies and Risk Control

1. Long Position Strategy:

   • Entry: Around $1,410, observe if it stabilizes.
   • Stop loss: Below $1,380.
   • Target: $1,550 (key resistance level).

2. Short Position Strategy:

   • Entry: Around $1,550, if the rebound is weak. Stop Loss: Above $1,570.
   • Target: $1,410 (strong support level).

3. Risk Warning:

   • Strictly set stop-loss, control positions, and avoid blindly bottom fishing or chasing prices.
   • Pay attention to macroeconomic data and regulatory dynamics, and adjust strategies in a timely manner.

7. Comprehensive Conclusion

The current price of ETH is 1,465.13, near a key support level. The technical indicators show strong bearish momentum, but the RSI has entered the oversold zone, indicating a potential technical rebound. It is important to closely monitor the gains and losses at the 1,410 support level and the $1,550 resistance level, as well as the impact of macroeconomic data on market sentiment.

Strategy Recommendations:

• Conservative investors: Wait and see, enter the market only after clear signs of stabilization.
• Aggressive Investors: Take a small long position near 1,410, set a stop loss, and target 1,550.

(Data as of April 9, 2025, strategies need to be adjusted based on real-time market conditions)