Pennsylvania: 19 electoral votes, the most crucial battleground state in the 2024 election. Trump lost the state by about 1 percentage point in 2020. Silver Bulletin predicts Trump's support rate in the state to be 48.3%, and Harris's to be 48%. Real Clear Polling predicts Trump's support rate to be 48.1%, and Harris's to be 47.6%. 2. Michigan: 15 electoral votes. The Republican Party has not won the state since 1988 until Trump won it in 2016. Biden won the state in 2020. Silver Bulletin predicts Trump's support rate in the state to be 47.4%, and Harris's to be 48.1%. Real Clear Polling predicts Trump's support rate to be 47.9%, and Harris's to be 47.8%. 3. Wisconsin: 10 electoral votes. Biden won the state in 2020 by less than 1 percentage point, and Trump also won it in 2016 by less than 1 percentage point. Silver Bulletin predicts Trump's support rate in the state to be 48.5%, and Harris's to be 48%. Real Clear Polling predicts Trump's support rate to be 48.1%, and Harris's to be 47.8%. 4. Georgia: 16 electoral votes. Trump won Georgia by about 5 percentage points in 2016, but lost to Biden by a margin of less than 12,000 votes in 2020. Silver Bulletin predicts Trump's support rate in the state to be 49%, and Harris's to be 47.6%. Real Clear Polling predicts Trump's support rate to be 49.2%, and Harris's to be 46.9%. 5. North Carolina: 16 electoral votes. Since 2008, the state has not voted for a Democratic presidential candidate, but Harris sees it as a target because of its large African American population. Silver Bulletin predicts Trump's support rate in the state to be 48.9%, and Harris's to be 47.6%. Real Clear Polling predicts Trump's support rate to be 48.6%, and Harris's to be 47.8%. 6. Arizona: 11 electoral votes. Biden won the state by less than half a percentage point in 2020. Silver Bulletin predicts Trump's support rate in the state to be 49.4%, and Harris's to be 47.3%. Real Clear Polling predicts Trump's support rate to be 49.2%, and Harris's to be 47.7%. 7. Nevada: 6 electoral votes. Biden won the state by 2.4 percentage points in 2020. Silver Bulletin predicts Trump's support rate in the state to be 47.9%, and Harris's to be 47.9%. Real Clear Polling predicts Trump's support rate to be 47.8%, and Harris's to be 47.1%. (Survey results as of October 28th)
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金十整理：Her bir oy, bir fırsattır! Amerika Birleşik Devletleri seçimlerinde 7 swing eyaleti anketle değerlendirme