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If the Fed decides to cut rates on September 19, it will impact financial markets, including cryptocurrencies, with Bitcoin being the most prominent. Is this a booster for the market or a "Sword of Damocles" hanging in mid-air? Let's look back at history to learn from past experiences.

Highlights 1. The advanced subject of Futures Trading, Gate learn, aims to help traders establish a professional futures trading system, forming a framework for contract thinking from three aspects regarding investment philosophy, contract tools, and trading system. 2. This issue is subjected to introduce “How to look at the cyclical volatility of the cryptocurrency market from a macro perspective”, and introduce the basics of the Federal Reserve, how monetary policy affects markets and how investors should respond to it.

This article explores that the Bitcoin inscription has once again come out of the circle of community debates. Behind it, there is a desire for a diverse Bitcoin ecosystem.

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) regularly released by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) causes fluctuations in the venture capital market. This article explains to readers in detail what CPI is, its composition and calculation, and what impact it will have on inflation and the stock market?

To curb rampant inflation, the Fed began its interest rate hike operations last year. This round of interest rate hikes is the largest in history and has had a significant impact on the global economy. As the interest rate hike nears its end, the cryptocurrency market is expected to enter a new bull market.

Gate Research Weekly Review and Outlook: BTC and ETH prices fluctuated this week. Bitcoin ETFs saw a net inflow of $196 million, while Ethereum ETFs experienced a net outflow of $3.9 million. On October 9, Bitcoin mining difficulty rose by 4.12%, potentially leading to a price rebound. The FTX restructuring plan received approval, with payouts set to begin in late October. Hackers hijacked an EigenLayer investor's email, stealing over 1.6 million EIGEN tokens, though some funds were frozen. Upcoming speeches by Federal Reserve officials on key economic issues may influence future monetary policy.

The Fed has announced a relaxing of policies, which means no hiking of rates and a slowdown in quantitative tightening. Risk-on assets like crypto are expected to hit new highs.

Gate Research (January 11-17, 2025) – This report provides a comprehensive analysis of important developments in both the cryptocurrency market and macro economy. The U.S. New York Fed's 1-year inflation expectations for December came in at 3%, up from the previous 2.97%. The U.S. December PPI annual rate recorded 3.3%, below market expectations of 3.4%. The U.S. December unadjusted CPI annual rate was 2.9%, meeting market expectations of 2.9%.

Gate Research Daily Report, August 14: BTC prices have returned above $60,000, while ETH remains volatile. The market shows an optimistic bullish sentiment. The U.S. July PPI growth was below expectations, affecting the Fed's interest rate cut outlook. BitGo wallet transferred a large amount of Mt. Gox Bitcoin assets, and Aethir Foundation opened community reward claims.

Gate Research (Feb 15-21, 2025): This report provides a comprehensive analysis of key developments in both the cryptocurrency market and the broader macroeconomic environment. On February 15, Federal Reserve’s Logan stated that even if inflation continues to cool, it may not necessarily trigger rate cuts. On February 18, a New York Fed survey revealed that U.S. manufacturing costs in February saw the largest increase in two years. On February 19, data from the U.S. Treasury showed that the top three foreign holders of U.S. debt reduced their holdings in December, while total foreign net inflows exceeded $87 billion. Also on February 19, U.S. January residential construction fell by 9.8% month-on-month, worse than the expected 7.3% decline, and far below the previous value of 15.8%.

Gate Research Weekly Review & Outlook: Fed projects two rate cuts in 2025, falling short of market expectations, leading to declines in crypto markets and global stocks. Gate.io ranks fourth globally in 24-hour spot trading volume, up 46.74% from the previous day. HYPE leads the DeFi sector with a 40% increase over the past seven days. Hong Kong's SFC grants licenses to four virtual asset trading platforms through expedited procedures. Clober DEX suffers contract vulnerability attack, losing approximately $500,000. Riot Platforms adds 667 BTC to holdings, bringing total position to $1.8 billion. Metars Genesis token faces major unlock of 10 million tokens next week, investors should monitor closely.

Gate Research Daily Report:December 9 As of December 9, Bitcoin's price has been fluctuating within a narrow range around $100,000, with the market maintaining a balance between long and short positions. The total net inflow for Bitcoin spot ETFs was $377 million, while Ethereum spot ETFs saw a net inflow of $83.76 million. The "altcoin season" may have arrived, as the market capitalization of tokens other than Bitcoin and Ethereum has exceeded 30%. The total value locked (TVL) in liquidity staking protocols has reached $70.9 billion. The Cat-Themed, Privacy Coins, and The Boy's Club sectors saw changes of +7.0%, +6.2%, and +4.2%, respectively. Trump has stated that he does not plan to replace Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, and the probability of a rate cut by the Fed in December exceeds 83%. Interlace completed a $10 million Series B1 funding round, with participation from Bitrock Capital, Robinhood, and others.

Gate Research Daily Report(December 3): On December 3, Bitcoin (BTC) price dropped 1.75% in the last 24 hours, fluctuating within a narrow range of $95,200 to $96,200. XYO saw a single-day increase of over 121%, leading the altcoin market. XRP experienced a liquidation amount of $85.69 million yesterday, making it the cryptocurrency with the highest liquidation amount. Bitcoin mining difficulty increased by 1.59%, setting a new all-time high. Federal Reserve's Williams: The Fed is expected to further lower interest rates. The private key of DeBox's operational account was leaked, resulting in a loss of over 4.87 million BOX tokens and 31 ETH. WisdomTree submitted an XRP ETF application to the U.S. SEC. Digital bank Brighty announced the completion of a $10 million funding round, with Futurecraft Ventures as the investor.

Gate Research Weekly Market Review and Outlook: Bitcoin continues to fluctuate this week, with short-term investor sentiment leaning towards pessimism. A significant downward revision of US non-farm payroll data, indicating a weak job market, has catalyzed expectations for interest rate cuts. Bitcoin ETFs see continuous net inflows, driven by strong institutional buying interest and increased off-exchange capital inflows, leading to higher USDT issuance. Sun Pump rapidly expands its market share, energizing the TRON ecosystem. The imminent launch of Fractal Bitcoin's mainnet has made the Bitcoin ecosystem narrative a market hotspot. This week's market funding primarily focused on infrastructure, artificial intelligence, and privacy security sectors.

The Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes and cuts directly impact the liquidity of the crypto market, U.S. stock market, and even global markets, determining the direction of financial cycles. It is no exaggeration to say that rate hikes often lead to bear markets and tighter funding, while rate cuts typically bring bull markets and looser liquidity, making their impact significant. This article provides a detailed analysis of the principles, processes, and economic effects of the Federal Reserve's interest rate adjustments.