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#加密市场回调 BMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes predicts that Bitcoin will experience a significant pullback in the short term, with prices potentially dropping to the range of 70,000 to 75,000 US dollars from the current levels, possibly accompanied by a minor financial crisis. With global Central Banks resuming quantitative easing policies and Liquidity reinjected into the market, BTC will restart its uptrend and is expected to soar to 250,000 US dollars by the end of the year.
WhaleWire founder: Japanese rate hike led to a drop in US stocks, arbitrage traders had to sell assets to repay loans
WhaleWire founder Jacob King wrote on social media that the main reason for the stock futures crash is that yen arbitrage traders had to sell off assets, and this week could be very bloody.
Jacob explained that in August 2024, Japan raised its interest rate from 0.1% to 0.25%, leading to a flash crash. Now, Japan has further raised the interest rate to 0.5%, with a 2-year yield of 0.71%. The higher interest rate in Japan is putting an end to the yen carry trade, where investors borrow cheap yen to invest in other assets. Now that borrowing costs are rising, it means they have to sell assets to repay the loans.
Coindesk analyst: BTC may form a double top pattern, expected to pull back to $75,000
According to Coindesk analyst Omkar Godbole's article, BTC may be forming a double top reversal pattern on the daily chart. As it failed to stay above the December high last week, BTC appears to have formed a double top pattern, with the neckline support around $91,300. If the neckline support is broken, it may trigger a drop to $75,000.
Analyst Miles Deutscher: DeepSeek panic plus FOMC hedging, or a good buying opportunity
Prominent crypto analyst Miles Deutscher tweeted that DeepSeek panic combined with FOMC safe-haven looks like a pretty good buying opportunity. Market panic selling always provides better buying opportunities compared to gradual declines. Limit orders/TWAP orders have been set.
Trader Alex Kruger: When faced with uncertainty and low Liquidity, the market will experience a significant pullback.
Trader Alex Kruger tweeted that the problem is that few people really understand how much change DeepSeek brings - this problem seems difficult to quantify. When faced with uncertainty, people tend to reduce risk. When this happens in low liquidity conditions, the market will experience a sharp pullback. We formed a local bottom when BTC broke through $98,000 (when the market had already collapsed). But this is not the pullback I would choose to buy, unless it is for short-term operations. Alex Kruger said he prefers to short BTC above $100,000 (not now) and temporarily suspends long-term investment plans. This will be a very turbulent week as the Fed, earnings season, and Trump's frequent media activities will all affect the market.