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Just been watching the crypto markets and there's some interesting stuff happening with derivatives right now. Open interest has basically stabilized around that $16.9 billion level, and funding rates are back to normal range after those wild swings earlier in the week. But here's what caught my eye - the options market is showing some real caution. The skew is pushing higher, meaning people are paying more for downside protection. That backwardation signal suggests traders are expecting something volatile to hit soon.
Meanwhile, the broader markets are still pretty fragile. Oil dipped below $100 briefly which gave us a little pump, but equity futures are rolling over again. Bitcoin's basically flat at $71.69K, down about 1.8% over 24 hours, and ETH is similar. The liquidation data from derivatives shows $308 million got wiped out in a day, mostly from longs.
What's interesting though is altcoins are actually holding up better. QNT and FET have been the bright spots, even though they're down slightly today. The altcoin season index is sitting at 46/100, which is way better than where we were a few weeks ago. Feels like there's still some conviction in the market despite all this derivatives positioning screaming caution.