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#Gate广场四月发帖挑战
Breaking news! Vance announces the US-Iran talks have collapsed! Is Black Sunday reappearing?
At 9:35 a.m. on Sunday morning, U.S. Vice President Vance held a press conference in Islamabad, confirming that the US and Iran did not reach an agreement, and differences remain significant.
The breakdown of negotiations will make the currently fragile ceasefire face greater uncertainty. Currently, Vance has already set out to return to the United States.
As news spread, the market initially declined, with Bitcoin dropping 1,500 points in 15 minutes, now closing at $71,350.
Thinking about the collapse of the talks, after all, their core demands are far apart, but I didn't expect it so quickly. This morning, there was news that both sides would hold a fourth round of negotiations.
Sure enough, “all losses are thanks to Trump”!
How will the situation develop?
First, although the two sides haven't reached an agreement yet, the U.S. still left Iran a “final plan,” which is essentially a “last ultimatum,” waiting for Iran’s response.
So, it still depends on whether Iran will compromise at the last moment. That is, if Iran announces it will not accept this plan soon, the market could still fall.
Next, it is highly likely that both sides will fire again, especially after yesterday’s U.S. destroyer attempted to pass through the Strait of Hormuz, sparking speculation about whether the U.S. will use force to open the Strait of Hormuz.
The U.S. has, after this period of intensive troop movements, completed deployment in the Middle East.
The next step to watch is whether they will launch a ground attack.
Additionally, we should pay attention to whether Pakistan will make another effort for a ceasefire, and whether both sides will sit down again to negotiate.
Anyway, the US-Iran conflict is just “fighting” and “bouncing between” the two, repeatedly harvesting retail investors’ money.
How to plan next?
【Cryptocurrency】
Still mainly focusing on high positions, but don’t rush to short immediately.
The market has already gone through the first wave of emotional release, and a short-term rebound may occur.
You can wait for the rebound to short at high points, but avoid short-term longs to catch the rebound.
【Crude Oil Market】
Negotiation breakdown combined with the U.S. destroyer entering the Strait of Hormuz will intensify the situation in the Persian Gulf, causing oil prices to rise accordingly.
Currently, the XTI perpetual contract has surged in the short term, and next week is likely to open high again.
As the old saying goes, wait until the XTI contract price gradually falls back, then before the market opens tomorrow morning, you can lay some XTI long positions to earn the time difference.
【Gold Market】
Similar to Bitcoin’s trend, a sharp rise in oil prices will inevitably increase inflation expectations.
Plus, the U.S. March CPI released on Friday hit a recent high, so gold and silver will definitely come under pressure.
You can also wait until prices stabilize, then before the market opens tomorrow morning, short XAUT and XAG perpetual contracts to earn the time difference!
Unexpected news, that’s all for now. Hope everyone’s wallets can avoid the pinpoint explosions of missiles between the US and Iran.
Getting more and more bullish, making money every day!