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First three hours: Optimistic expectations heat up
Iranian media reports "U.S. agrees to unfreeze assets + Lebanon ceasefire, negotiations may begin the same day."
Last three hours: White House denies unfreezing Iran's assets, meaning:
The "preconditions" for U.S.-Iran negotiations have not been met, the probability of negotiations starting has significantly decreased, and the risk of geopolitical conflict escalation has resurfaced.
The market's previous "peace dividend" expectations have been quickly revised, safe-haven sentiment has rapidly recovered, and risk appetite has been suppressed.
Trading strategy reference!!
Short-term: Avoid chasing gains or selling on dips; such "news reversals" can trigger stop-losses due to volatility. It is recommended to reduce positions and wait for market sentiment to stabilize.
Risk warning: The uncertainty of geopolitical news is extremely high. Any sudden escalation of conflict could trigger intense market volatility. Be sure to set strict stop-losses.
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