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🤑 The Federal Reserve's balance sheet increased by $18,527,000,000 in one week!
▪️Market expectations for the (Federal Reserve rate):
- Pause until December 2027.
▪️Daily, Federal Reserve Chair:
- Fundamental indicators are in good shape.
- The key question is how long oil prices will remain high and how the conflict with Iran will end.
- It is still too early to assess the impact of geopolitics on the economy.
- If oil prices decrease, a rate cut cannot be ruled out.
▪️JPMorgan:
- Inflation risks and rising oil prices may keep the Fed rate high for longer.
▪️UBS:
- Expectations for a rate cut are pushed back to a later date.
- Base scenario: rate reduction no earlier than the second half of the year (September-December).