The market expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points this year, with only about a one-third chance.

MeNews · 2026-04-10T14:40:32+00:00

The market estimates that there is about a one-third chance that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points. Affected by the Iran war and accelerated inflation in March, U.S. Treasury yields rose slightly, putting pressure on bond prices. Analysts believe that the upcoming inflation report will increase market uncertainty.

MeNews

2026-04-10 14:40:32

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ME News Report, April 10 (UTC+8), the market estimates that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points this year is about one-third, and bond traders have slightly reduced their rate cut bets. Data shows that due to the Iran war causing gasoline prices to rise and U.S. March inflation to accelerate, after the report was released, U.S. Treasuries edged lower, with yields across all maturities rising by two to three basis points. Mischler Financial Group Managing Director Tom di Galoma stated that today’s CPI data will not support bond prices, and next month’s inflation report will bring more trouble for investors and the Federal Reserve. (Source: ChainCatcher)

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