The situation in the Strait of Hormuz is quite critical...

As of April 10, 2026, although there is a de facto ceasefire in the region on paper, the actual transit has almost come to a halt.
Here are the current data and the latest situation in the strait:
Number of Ships Transiting (April 2026)
Normally, an average of 60-140 ships pass through the strait daily, but current figures have dropped to symbolic levels:
Daily Transits: Only 2-3 ships are reported to have passed in the last 24 hours.
Capacity Loss: Maritime traffic is operating at 90-95% below normal levels.
Waiting Ships: The number of ships stranded or waiting anchored around the strait and in the Persian Gulf is estimated to be between 150-600.
Background of the Crisis and Recent Developments
"Conditional Passage" Deadlock: A two-week temporary ceasefire reached between the US and Iran on April 8 was supposed to open the strait "under Iranian military coordination." However, this mechanism has not yet fully started functioning.
Lebanese Factor: Iran has stated that the ceasefire must also cover Lebanon, citing Israel's regional operations as justification, and as of the morning of April 9, has suspended transit again.
Alternative Routes: Major shipping operators have completely shifted their routes to the Cape of Good Hope (Africa's south) due to risks in Hormuz and the Red Sea. This significantly increases logistics costs and durations by (an average of +14 days).
Market Impact:
This blockage directly affects oil prices. Due to this uncertainty, Brent crude has started to push back toward the $100 mark, and global energy supply security has become the biggest risk of 2026.
It is unlikely that the strait will open at full capacity before mid-2026...