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Analysis: Weak demand for Bitcoin, short-term rebound depends on ETF support
ME News message, April 5 (UTC+8). CryptoQuant data shows that recent institutional buy orders for Bitcoin are approaching historical highs. Over the past 30 days, ETF and Strategy combined have accumulated about 94k BTC, but overall net demand from the market is still -63k BTC. Other participants have sold off as much as 157k BTC. Whale activity has shifted from the largest buyer to aggressive selling, with holdings fluctuation of nearly 400k BTC over 18 months; the accumulation pace of mid-term holders has slowed significantly. The BTC spot price is trading at a 21% premium to its realized price, which has not yet reached the historical “true bottom” signal, and the premium is rapidly narrowing. Market sentiment is mired in extreme fear, in contrast to institutional capital inflows. This drawdown is about 47%, and volatility has narrowed compared with historical cycles. The bottom depends entirely on ETF buy-side absorption, and the demand side remains overall weak and continues to deteriorate. (Source: PANews)