$RED #TrumpAgreesToTwoWeekCeasefire

RED/USDT, here is how the 3 Candle Model applies to the current structure:

Candle 1 = Range

· High: 0.24310
· Low: 0.16530
· The market established a clear trading range (previous session or larger timeframe consolidation).
· Bollinger Bands on the 1D/4h show a wide spread: UB ~0.2485, LB ~0.0669, confirming a prior range-bound or volatile environment.

Candle 2 = OB (Order Block) + Break + OTE (Optimal Trade Entry)

· Break: Price broke above the range high (0.24310 is now resistance-turned-support? No – actually price is now 0.20114, so the break failed or was false).
· Order Block: The sell-side liquidity was likely taken above 0.24310, but price reversed down into a bearish order block or supply zone.
· OTE: A retracement to the 0.705–0.79 Fibonacci level of the breakout leg would be an optimal entry. Current price near 0.201 is roughly a 50–61.8% retrace of the recent move down from 0.243 → 0.165.
· The 1h chart (second screenshot) shows EMA5=0.20095, EMA10=0.20015, EMA30=0.19170 → bullish alignment but price struggling to hold above EMA5.

Candle 3 = KOD (Kill Order Block / Displace)

· To confirm KOD, price must displace aggressively through the Candle 2 order block.
· That means closing above 0.209–0.210 (upper Bollinger on 1h is 0.20974) and then above 0.24310.
· Current price 0.20208 is still below the 1h order block – KOD is not yet confirmed.
· However, EMA5 > EMA10 > EMA30 on the 5m chart (first screenshot) suggests a short-term displacement attempt is forming.

Conclusion / Trading Implication

· If KOD confirms (break above 0.210 with strong volume), next target = 0.243–0.248.
· If price rejects here, Candle 2 remains a bearish order block, and price may revisit 0.185–0.190 (lower Bollinger on 1h).