Strategist: The US-Iran conflict may end in May rather than the previously expected June.

BlockBeatNews · 2026-04-08T06:05:49+00:00

A strategist at the Commonwealth Bank of Australia believes that the US-Iran conflict could end in May, with a ceasefire seen as the beginning of a peace agreement. The reopening of the Strait of Hormuz indicates substantial progress, despite the parties' plans being incompatible, but the ceasefire shows that the US is open to compromise. The economic consequences continue to accumulate, and if negotiations break down, the market will suffer severe negative impacts.

BlockBeatNews

2026-04-08 06:05:49

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BlockBeats message, April 8, an Australian Federal Bank strategist believes the conflict between Iran and the U.S. may end in May rather than June as previously expected. Although the ceasefire has not ended the fighting, analysts view it as the beginning of the end. In a report, the analyst said that the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz indicates that the peace agreement is making substantive progress. He added that although the plans proposed by the United States and Iran appear to be seriously incompatible, reaching a ceasefire shows that, given that Iran’s strategic leverage has not been significantly reduced and U.S. allies still are not willing to provide assistance, the U.S. is cautiously open to compromise. He added that the economic consequences of the war are continuing to accumulate, and if negotiations break down due to political constraints, the market will respond with a strong negative reaction. (Jin10)

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