Leading Insight: The double breakout low-buying strategy has already been secretly embedded

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It might be because the follower count is growing and I don’t have enough time, but I still want to plan to spend at least three hours each day focusing on consolidating communication with everyone in the comment threads, helping followers discover problems and solve problems. So I’m going to prioritize replying according to the timing of everyone’s comment threads, starting from the first floor, to clarify questions for everyone. If you have issues, post them as early as possible; of course, I’ll do my best to make sure I answer all questions.**
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If I happened to miss any questions the day before, you can post that question again in the new thread**

Take a look at today’s “three-board ax” for the overall market. During the uptrend, the red columns are 2+1 and the green columns are 1+2, which shows that the capital still isn’t willing to choose inflows after all—more and more capital is watching from outside. Every time the market rises, it carries the emotion of being burdened; again and again, then again—until it’s exhausted. This has a big impact on the morale of the bulls.

Tomorrow’s outlook for the overall market is that there will be more, but it’s still a choppy range, and the range-bound decline—under these circumstances, it’s also a contest between everyone’s trading systems. The “forest law” applies. That means you have to see who has confidence in the trading system they use. Anyway, I do; because over 30 years, I’ve basically walked through almost every trading path, and then I started subtracting—only keeping patterns where the accuracy is relatively higher. For the sake of win rate, even my most loved axis—board-to-board—had its position sizing adjusted. It’s also kind of fate: I tried to focus on TongDa GF, but in the XI exchange, I ended up unsubscribing while it was underwater. Today it reversed and hit the daily limit again. That indicates this kind of hand-built quant trading system still can quantify into bull power. It’s just that if you only play the axis board-to-board, the bull sentiment value isn’t high enough. So the next focus is broken-board low buys—for example, double-break low buys—which could be the key point of the discussion

Looking back now, I still ended up unsubscribing at the bottom floors. It shows that on Friday, my mindset had already been affected and I carried correction emotions. So at the first moment, I adjusted the C-position of the axis board-to-board, from 20%-10%, with the expectation of reaching 5%; I reduced it by关（关仓/减关）, using only 10%, to pursue maximizing the expected value.

In the replay, the key is still to look first at the board-to-board winners—there are 7

Xineng TS—this three-board run feels like I missed it. The points where the board was broken twice—the one with a double-break happened, but I missed it. Still, even looking back now, it’s hard.

JinYao YY’s 7 consecutive boards also didn’t show intraday transitions from weakness to strength; you can only see that it ran 7 boards. If something can’t be confirmed—or if it’s beyond your own recognition—then you can treat it as a “capital board.” Don’t participate; don’t make mistakes.

HuaSheng C—two consecutive boards. The pattern is okay. Tomorrow, if there are smooth/effortless value signals, you can take a look. But judging from today’s order book, it’s still very weak; I estimate it will be hard for it to succeed in breaking through. The pattern is decent—if it closes with a red-to-green (down) candle, the chance of a low buy is even higher.

As for the other few, understand them temporarily as “capital boards.” Wait until they release, and then confirm the bull-bear sentiment value ratio.

Personal views, for reference only. Limited to communication; it does not constitute any investment advice. You take full responsibility for risk if you act on this.

Let’s take another look: tomorrow, broken boards—such as whether the double-break has anything worth watching. First do a broad elimination (seaway/selecting the candidates), then pick the best, and finally you still need to enter the dynamic value confirmation in the intraday session. It’s three steps in total: broad elimination looks directly at the pattern

For double-break low buys, if there’s a focus shift downward in the opening auction, you can just abandon it directly—maybe it isn’t worth the XI value. If there’s no dynamic value intraday, you can also abandon it. If the overall market drops a lot, it’s 246810. If it doesn’t hit the limit-down, it might be somewhere near the end of the day (tail).

Personal views, for reference only. Limited to communication; it does not constitute any investment advice. You take full responsibility for risk if you act on this.

TFZ—yesterday intraday it showed a 4-cycle on the time-sharing chart, but in the end it didn’t break out to B2.

In the early session, the bull-bear ratio sentiment value stayed strong, and it formed a time-sharing 4-cycle as shown in the chart. But after the release from point B, it generated a C2, and it didn’t go back above point B on that day. I estimate the shorts here didn’t release cleanly. Also, judging from the close, the horizontal time was stretched, and the short side’s time cycle became 1+2. Today, there may be a re-enactment of the short-side cycle. It needs to come back and release one more time. In this situation, the best approach is to use a T+0 model to assist—observe after the short side releases: if its force is stronger than today’s early-session divergence 4-cycle, then it’s promising.

TFZ is an old dragon. In the past, the bull-bear sentiment ratio was very obvious. Recently, I found the dragon’s second wave (Long Er Bo), and it also syncs in resonance with years of memory. Since in the past I mainly played consecutive boards and thought the dragon’s second wave had no value; actually looking back now, it’s the dragon’s second wave—board flipping has no value. But taking one step back: if you play broken-board double-break low buys, it may create huge value. This is the theme I want to discuss today:

Dragon leader mystery: the double-break password is already hidden
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Deep in our historical memory, many dragon leaders have a dragon’s second wave, but we really don’t know how to handle it. Usually people choose to give up. In fact, inside the dragon’s second wave, it contains the dragon leader gene—it’s just a local re-enactment of the bulls, and no longer suitable for board flipping (since board flipping is at point B, which is still high risk). The dragon’s second wave is a local re-enactment; you cannot accurately quantify the height of that bull re-enactment, and even the re-enactment time cannot be quantified either. You can only make a choice between C and B.**

In the chart above, I believe that as long as it can meet the “big protects small” condition—for example, during a decline, you can observe the shorts shrinking; through its downward slope. Because we know the downward slope is formed by short-side power. When the shorts decrease, the downward slope will sync down and decrease as well. Actually, if you want to have a cycle pressure-measure value, here we use the daily chart pressure-measure value. This indicates that when the overall market declines, it doesn’t decline in sync—there is capital returning, and this point is very important. Also, you need to see the shift in the center of gravity upward—see an offensive setup, such as board-to-board, daily ACB, and the flow+zero pattern.

In March, the overall market’s center of gravity moved downward. TFZ was in a “down but not falling” state, and you can observe the shorts’ power decreasing. Recently, there have been multiple instances of hitting the daily limit with strong stalls, and there are signs of capital returning. So here, there may be observation points for a double-break.

Today we’re going to talk: does the old-dragon leader also leave us the wealth of double-break opportunities?

First, we infer from the underlying logic. For a leader—whether it’s a consecutive-board leader or a consecutive-board trend leader—the bull sentiment at that time was very large. Generally, I interpret it as a 9010 bull-bear ratio of consecutive boards, or daily flow+zero, or the daily ACB bull-bear ratio—these all belong to the three major offensive types. In the past, board flipping meant you finished and then you would give up; now the focus is shifting to double-break. The possibility of a bull “small-cycle re-enactment” is very high. In simple terms: when the big ship is rotten, there are still three thousand nails.

For example, HeFeng ZG—an old leader stock. After the shorts released, it suddenly hit a daily limit, and then entered a double-break. At this moment, it’s very meaningful as a reference. There’s an important note: it’s not that you decide to focus on it on the next day of the daily limit. Instead, you observe whether this daily limit is part of the inverted ACB inside the downtrend continuation. If it’s point C, then generally within two to three trading days, the stock price will set new lows again. If, by observation, you find the price center of gravity didn’t break down below the low, then it’s possible that the current bull sentiment value ratio is greater than the shorts’, because it has leader attributes. Then the bulls may locally re-enact past historical strength. In this case, using double-break may bring some expected value gains—as shown below

In our impressions, many old dragons have a second wave. In fact, the focus of this second wave may be precisely at the double-break. But you still must use the “big protects small” approach, with “small grows into big” (protect the big, don’t harm the small). Big protects small means: on the daily chart, you can observe the shorts decreasing or the bulls increasing. For example, in the chart below—HeFeng ZG’s daily move is 3+2+1

In the daily 3+2+1—especially that last “1”—it also contains the daily pressure-measure value. So here, the double-break is exactly the next entry and observation point of the dragon’s second wave.

Trend-dragon performance looks even more obvious. For example, GuoSheng KJ. It shows one thing: compared with consecutive-board dragons, trend dragons’ double-break rebound cycles are longer. A consecutive-board dragon may be just one or two days of arbitrage, while trend dragons still mainly revolve around cycle-local re-enactment.

In the chart above, we can see GuoSheng KJ: after topping out, the daily chart is 3+2+1. When identifying the double-break attention point during the launch, it also has a daily pressure-measure value. Its daily pressure-measure value is stronger, belonging to the “doesn’t fall but rises” type.

I also used this model to play some old dragons from the past—consecutive-board dragons or trend dragons, such as Guizhou RQ

As for the double, it’s SanYM

**Today’s question interaction:
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1. Talk about whether, in your past memories, the old dragon leaders you remember ever showed double-break opportunities? The main purpose of the交流 (discussion) is to see whether there are any conditions to add, and whether in the “dragon leader mystery” the double-break password is already hidden.
2. Today, do a broad elimination of five double-break candidates—do any of them have add/less points that you agree or disagree with? The goal of the discussion is to increase the value/quality of the broad elimination (candidate filtering).

Personal views, for reference only

That’s it for today’s strategy learning XI here. It’s not easy to preach; I hope fate lets you and me cherish each other.
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In 30 years of short-term trading practice—25 years doing low buys. Recently, in the last 5 years, I started switching to board flipping, including first boards, consecutive boards, and dragon leaders. And all my strategies come from my own original “Sentiment Quantified ACB Trading System.”**
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On TaoGuba, everyone can exchange freely, learn from each other, and share experiences. I will also honestly share my own trading thought process, market views, and personal position records.**
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But I must remind everyone: the platform strictly prohibits stock recommendations and guidance on buying/selling. All the content I share is only personal records and thought-exchange, and does not constitute any investment advice.**
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Friends and followers can refer to it and discuss it, but you must make independent judgments, take responsibility for profits and losses, and invest rationally. Don’t follow blindly, don’t blindly comply—keep your own trading principles.
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Personal views, for reference only
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Thank everyone for the recognition. In this world, only sincerity cannot be let down! My wish is to spread peaches and plums across the world.**
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