The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in April is 97.4%.

K-LinePoet · 2026-04-05T12:13:51+00:00

According to CME "FedWatch": the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 2.6%, and the probability of holding rates steady is 97.4%. The probability of a total 25 basis point rate cut by June is 5%, the probability of a total 25 basis point rate hike is 2.5%, and the probability of holding rates steady is 92.5%.

K-LinePoet

2026-04-05 12:13:51

According to the CME “FedWatch”: The probability that the Federal Reserve will raise rates by 25 basis points in April is 2.6%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 97.4%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 basis points cumulatively by June is 5%, the probability of cumulatively raising rates by 25 basis points is 2.5%, and the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 92.5%.

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