🔴 A scenario that no one wants to talk about.

What if each Bitcoin cycle peak follows the same scenario?
2017: $19K → -84% → $3K
2021: $69K → -77% → $15K
2025: $126K → -72% → ~$35K
Three cycles.
Three crashes.
Almost identical declines.
This is not a prediction.
This is pattern recognition.
And this pattern is very consistently uncomfortable.
This is what bullish people always say at this point:
“This cycle is different.”
“Institutions are in.”
“ETFs change everything.”
They said the same thing in 2021.
At $69K.
Now macro:
Global liquidity is still tightening
US debt pressures through 2026
Halving euphoria fades 12–18 months after the peak
If this pattern holds (and it happens 3 times):
Not $60K.
Not $50K.
It’s around ~$32K–$35K.
Maybe it won’t happen.
Maybe this time is truly different.
But if you don’t stress-test this scenario
You’re not managing risk.
You’re just hoping.
What’s your baseline case for this cycle’s BTC bottom? 👇
#Bitcoin #crypto #blockchainbliss