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[U.S. Stock Market Opens] Trump: Not helping America's country anymore; in the future, we will have to learn to find oil ourselves. Dow Jones rises 504 points, Nasdaq up 1.5% (updating continuously)
U.S. President Trump posted on the social media platform Truth Social, saying, “All countries that can’t get aviation fuel because of the Strait of Hormuz—for example, the UK that refused to participate in Iran’s ‘decapitation operation’—I have a suggestion for you: First, buy from the United States; we have plenty of oil. Second, muster up your courage, go to the Strait of Hormuz, and take it. You have to start learning to be self-reliant. The United States will no longer help you like it used to—just like you didn’t help us back then.”
He said, “Iran has basically already been destroyed. The most difficult part is already over,” and urged those countries that are “sitting on the sidelines” to go get oil themselves.
According to reports by overseas media, Trump told aides that even if the Strait of Hormuz is basically closed, he is willing to end the United States’ military operations against Iran, in order to boost hopes in the market that the conflict—now in its second month—will come to an end. Oil prices were steady; New York May crude oil futures rose 1% to $103.95, and Brent June crude oil futures rose 0.1% to $107.45. Gold prices continued to climb; New York June gold futures rose 0.7% to $4,590, and spot gold rose 1.1% to $4,558.
The U.S. dollar index held steady above the 100 level, at a temporary 100.45. Fed Chair Powell suggested that the need for rate hikes in the short term may not be necessary, while U.S. long-term Treasury yields continued to fall steadily; the 10-year yield was temporarily at 4.329%.
In U.S. stocks on Tuesday at the open, prices rose; the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 504 points to 45,720, the S&P 500 rose 74 points to 6,418, and the Nasdaq rose 302 points, or 1.5%, to 21,096.
In focus stocks, big tech shares continued to rebound; Meta (U.S.: META) rose 3%, and Microsoft (U.S.: MSFT) rose 2%. Nvidia (U.S.: NVDA) and Amazon (U.S.: AMZN) also rebounded by nearly 1%.
Hong Kong stocks and ADR market conditions are continuously updated—see: Next page
Intraday trend:
【20:55】Trump: Countries that haven’t helped the U.S. must learn how to get oil themselves in the future. Dow Jones futures up 509 points, Nasdaq futures up 0.8%. Spot gold up 1%
【18:00】Dow Jones futures up 407 points, Nasdaq futures up 0.8%. Spot gold up 1%
【15:00】Dow Jones futures up 321 points, at 45,786. S&P 500 futures up 39 points, at 6,427. Nasdaq futures up 132 points, or 0.6%, at 23,272.
【15:00】Oil prices were steady; New York crude futures up 0.1% to $102.97, and Brent crude futures up 0.7% to $107.48. Gold prices continued to climb; New York gold futures up 0.7% to $4,590, and spot gold up 1.1% to $4,558.
【14:06】【U.S. stocks analysis】Powell hints at no rate hikes in the short term; U.S. stocks rise first and then pull back. Analysis: Rate-hike odds were overestimated; if fighting cools in the short term, the S&P 500 could return to 7,000
【12:08】【New stock IPO】Nasdaq rolls out a “fast-track inclusion” rule, paving the way for unicorns like SpaceX to quickly graduate to the Nasdaq 100 Index
【10:48】【Gold price trend】Gold prices continue to rise by more than 1%. Powell eases rate-hike expectations + Trump reportedly says he is also willing to end the fighting even without reopening the Strait of Hormuz
【08:03】【U.S. interest rate outlook】Powell says long-term inflation expectations remain under control and emphasizes monetary policy is in a good position
$1 or below refers to U.S. stock market conditions on March 30====
Monday: Iran’s parliament approves tolls in the Strait of Hormuz. U.S. crude goes above the 100 level; Nasdaq turns down 0.7%; the Dow Jones rose 49 points after being up as much as 459 points.
Iran’s Islamic Parliament on Monday approved a bill to charge tolls on ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz. Oil tankers could be charged fees of up to $2 million.
U.S. President Trump claimed that negotiations with Iran have made major progress, but warned that if the Strait of Hormuz is not restored for passage, the U.S. may attack Iran’s energy infrastructure. U.S. crude immediately moved above the 100 level, and the Nasdaq turned lower.
Watch U.S. stocks close today:
U.S. stocks had mixed performance on Monday. After opening higher, the Dow expanded its gains to as much as 459 points, then briefly turned down by 109 points. It ultimately closed up 49 points at 45,216; the S&P 500 gave back 0.39%, and the Nasdaq fell 0.73%.
New York crude oil futures rose 3.25% to $102.88 and finished above the $100 level. Brent May crude closed up 0.18% at $112.78.
Investor activist Bill Ackman said that the two major mortgage lenders, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, had fallen more than “down the line,” which spurred the stock prices to jump 51% and 47%, respectively. U.S. Aluminum rose 8.2%.
At a public speech on Monday (the 30th), Fed Chair Powell said that the Fed’s response to the Iran war largely depends on how the conflict affects Americans’ inflation expectations. He said people often overlook supply shocks of any form. But the key is to closely monitor inflation expectations. The Fed faces risks in both dual mandates—maintaining price stability and achieving maximum employment. At present, monetary policy is appropriate to keep a wait-and-see stance, emphasizing that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will achieve a 2% inflation target.
He also mentioned that, as is well known, the implementation of monetary policy involves long and unstable lags; therefore, by the time the effects of tightening monetary policy become apparent, the oil price shock may already be over, and the comments may suggest that rate hikes in the short term are not necessarily on the table.
On Monday, Trump posted on the social platform Truth Social, saying the U.S. is engaging in serious talks with a brand-new, more rational Iranian regime to end its military actions in Iran. He also said the talks have made significant progress, but if an agreement cannot be reached as quickly as possible for any reason, and if the Strait of Hormuz cannot be opened immediately for commercial navigation, Iran’s all power plants, oil wells, and Khark Island will be destroyed and completely demolished—possibly including all seawater desalination plants.
He further emphasized that the U.S. has intentionally not touched the above facilities, saying the action is in retaliation for the “terror rule” that Iran’s previous regime carried out for 47 years, during which it slaughtered and killed many U.S. soldiers and others.
But after that, the chairman of Iran’s National Development Fund Executive Committee, Gazanfarı, rebutted the claim, saying Iran’s power plants are dispersed and more numerous, reducing the likelihood of a full nationwide blackout. He said that if Iran’s power generation facilities are targeted, Iran would plunge the entire region into a blackout state, and he said Iran’s armed forces have the ability to do so.
Gazanfarı also said that countries that support U.S. and Israeli actions will eventually have to pay a price for it—possibly reflected in damage to their own homeland or in future compensation for losses to Iran.
When the U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent was interviewed by overseas media, he said that the global oil market has adequate supply, and more and more ships are passing through the Strait of Hormuz. As time goes on, the U.S. will regain control of the Strait of Hormuz, and the Strait of Hormuz will achieve freedom of navigation, whether through U.S. escort or multinational escorts.
U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said that although tensions between the U.S. and Israel and Iran remain, Trump still tends to resolve the Iran issue through diplomatic channels. He said in the interview that the U.S. and Iran are still communicating indirectly through intermediaries, indicating that despite the conflict, diplomatic channels remain open.
He also accused Iran’s leadership of using the country’s resources to support regional armed groups, including Hezbollah, Hamas, and Iraqi Shiite militias, while also threatening neighboring countries. He welcomed the Iranian leadership changing its political philosophy, and said the U.S. will “seize” any opportunity that could prompt Iran to change its political direction.
There are signs that the situation in the Middle East may escalate. Oil prices continue to rise. Brent May crude futures rose by more than 2% again, to $115.08 per barrel; June futures also rose to $107.71. New York crude oil broke above the $100 level, to $101.81 per barrel, up 2.2%. The decline in gold was contained; it was temporarily up 0.8% to $4,531.24 per ounce.
U.S. stocks on Monday bounced at the open. The Dow Jones rose 320 points to 45,487, the S&P 500 rose 23 points to 6,392, and the Nasdaq rose 31 points, or 0.2%, to 20,980. This week, the U.S. will release March ADP employment changes, the March ISM manufacturing index, the March unemployment rate, and nonfarm payrolls data.
U.S. President Trump claimed that Iran has “agreed” to most of the 15 war-ending demands that the U.S. presented to Tehran, although it is still unclear whether both sides are truly negotiating.
Trump said, “They agreed to most of what we asked. How could they not?” and added, “We will still present some additional demands.” However, he refused to disclose what specific concessions Iran has made.
Hong Kong stocks and ADR market conditions are continuously updated—see: Next page
Intraday trend:
【23:10】Powell says monetary policy has a lag effect, implying that rate hikes may not be necessary in the short term. Oil prices jump 2%; Dow rises 320 points
【21:30】Trump: If the Strait of Hormuz is unable to reopen, we will blow up all of Iran’s power plants and oil wells. Oil prices jump 2%; Dow rises 396 points
【19:55】Trump: If the Strait of Hormuz is unable to reopen, we will blow up all of Iran’s power plants and oil wells again; oil prices jump another 2%. Dow Jones futures up 244 points
【18:15】Dow Jones futures up 153 points, Nasdaq futures up 0.3%. This week focuses on the Middle East war situation + nonfarm data
【18:10】【Iran crisis】Iran confirms the death of the commander of the navy of the Revolutionary Guards｜denies any direct negotiations (continuously updated)
【13:26】Dow Jones futures up 13 points, at 45,437. S&P 500 futures up 6 points, at 6,418. Nasdaq futures up 22 points, or nearly 0.1%, at 23,351.
【13:26】New York crude oil futures up 1.3% to $100.98. Brent crude futures up 2.3% to $115.17. For gold, the latest shows stabilization; New York gold futures up 0.2% to $4,534, and spot gold up 0.4% to $4,512.
【12:19】【European Central Bank】Member: Lock in the 2% inflation target; it’s still too early to talk about rate hikes now; warns about the U.S. financial system’s systemic risk
【10:58】【Iran crisis】Trump says the U.S. may seize Iranian oil and take over Khark Island’s export hub
【10:21】【Japanese yen trend】Jun Muramura warns it will take “bold action,” with 4.9 yen per Hong Kong dollar for each 100 yen
【09:30】【Oil price trend】Schroders expects high oil prices to last longer, but the pain is only about half of the peak during the 2007 crisis
【09:17】【Gold price trend】After gold recorded its first increase since the outbreak of the Middle East war, this week gold prices have fallen again
【08:33】【Iran crisis】War escalates in Iran; oil prices rise; stock markets in Japan and South Korea also experience another “Black Monday”
【07:30】【Iran crisis】Oil rises another 2%. Pakistan: In the coming days, hold the U.S.-Iran talks. Iran allows 20 ships to pass through the strait. Trump considers dispatching ground forces (continuously updated)
【07:30】U.S. President Trump said he is extending for another 10 days the strikes against Iran’s power plants, and that this has not eased concerns in the market; instead, he worries that prolonging the fighting will affect oil supplies and intensify the shock to the global economy. U.S. stocks ended lower last Friday. The Dow closed at 45,166, down 793 points; the S&P fell 1.67%, and the Nasdaq fell 2.15%.
Watch U.S. stocks close today:
U.S. stocks’ performance last week—see：【U.S. stocks close】Iran says nuclear facilities were hit; war could expand; Dow tumbles 793 points; oil prices rise again; U.S. dollar index stays above 100