I just read something interesting about Cathie Wood's predictions regarding the future of quantum computing. It turns out that one of the most common questions she receives about innovation and trends is precisely related to this topic.

What caught my attention is how she describes the current state of quantum computing. Wood has researched extensively on the subject and arrived at a rather revealing conclusion: real commercial applications probably won't arrive until the mid-2040s or even until the mid-2060s. Basically, we're talking about a quite distant time horizon.

The ironic part is that she mentions something that many in the industry probably recognize: the commercialization of quantum computing has always seemed just around the corner, "about 20 years away," as she puts it. After being in the sector for so long, she now estimates that those true commercial applications of quantum computing could still be roughly 19 years away.

In reality, this reflects well how many disruptive technologies are perceived: always promising but constantly farther away than initially expected. Quantum computing remains one of those fascinating fields where the gap between theory and commercial implementation seems wider than many anticipated.