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Overall intraday, both Bitcoin and Ethereum have formed a typical bottoming and rebound structure. Bitcoin briefly retreated to around 64,900 in the morning before quickly regaining lost ground, then fluctuated upward throughout the day. Multiple tests of resistance near 68,000 occurred, with the highest reaching 68,148 in the evening, but an effective stabilization was never established, indicating persistent selling pressure at high levels. Ethereum also rebounded from around 1936, with a daily high of about 2086, and similarly faced resistance at key levels before entering a consolidation phase at high prices. Looking at the full-day trend, although the rebound strength was not weak, the core remains a pattern of rising and then facing resistance and falling back, especially with multiple attempts to break higher in the evening that failed, suggesting short-term buying enthusiasm at high levels is lacking. The intraday trading strategy continues to focus on a high-position shorting approach. Currently, the high-level short positions are still held, and the market has begun to show signs of weakening upward momentum. True stability and profit-taking are never achieved by chasing the market but by making early judgments at key levels.
From the current market structure, on a small cycle, we see that consecutive highs have failed to push higher, with the 68,100 area forming a clear short-term resistance. Meanwhile, after a death cross on the MACD, the red histogram continues to shrink, indicating that short-term rebound momentum is waning. In the late night session, focus should be on the support around 67,000. If broken, the correction space could extend further down to around 66,500. If volume continues to increase and breaks downward, there is still a possibility of testing 66,000 below. For Ethereum, the area above 2080 also remains a strong intraday resistance zone. Currently trading near 2065, if it loses 2050, it could further test the 2035–2020 region. Overall, it is not suitable to blindly chase longs at this time. The short-term trading approach remains primarily high-level shorting. Bitcoin can be shorted in batches around 67,850–68,050, looking for a pullback below 67,200; Ethereum shorts can be placed around 2072–2082, targeting first 2050, then 2035. The overall direction remains clearly bearish, avoiding bets on breakouts, and waiting for resistance levels to be tested and confirmed. #BTC能否守住6.5万美元? $BTC