On the prediction market Polymarket, the probability of U.S. military entering Iran before the end of this month is 9%, and before the end of April is 63%.


BlockBeats reports that on March 29, according to The Washington Post, U.S. officials stated that the Pentagon is preparing for weeks of ground operations in Iran. As thousands of U.S. soldiers and Marines arrive in the Middle East, if President Trump chooses to escalate the war, this could mark a dangerous new phase of conflict. Any potential ground action would not be a full invasion but might involve special operations forces and regular infantry conducting raids together. Such missions could pose a range of threats to U.S. personnel, including Iran’s drones and missiles, ground fire, and improvised explosive devices. As of Saturday, it remains unclear whether Trump will approve or veto all or part of the Pentagon’s plans.
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