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#创作者冲榜 4 months net profit of $2.1 million, is this truly genius or AI harvesting?
Recently, an account appeared on Polymarket that has everyone baffled. In just four months, it has executed a total of 35,000 trades with a win rate of 93.3%, netting $2.1 million. This isn’t a novel—it’s verifiable on-chain data.
But here’s the question—any market with a 93% win rate is legendary. Even top hedge funds typically maintain a long-term win rate of around 60%, which is already considered elite.
What is this account doing?
Polymarket has recently become a battleground for AI. A few weeks ago, a student used Claude AI for predictions, turning $1,400 into $230,000 in 11 days. Soon after, a sports prediction expert made $670,000 in a week, with total profits surpassing $2.4 million. Now, there’s another “printing press” with a 93% win rate. The logic behind these accounts is the same: not relying on luck, but on AI’s speed of information processing and arbitraging pricing discrepancies.
When the combined price of “yes” and “no” contracts on a market is less than $1, bots instantly exploit this spread. Humans can’t react fast enough; AI has already finished the trade.
What does this mean?
1️⃣ Prediction markets have entered an AI-dominated era. Ordinary people bet based on intuition and emotion, while AI harvests profits using probability models. What you think is prediction is actually AI making money.
2️⃣ This isn’t an isolated case—it’s a trend. From Claude bots to MiroFish simulators, open-source AI tools have significantly lowered the barrier to quantitative trading. A college student spent 10 days developing an agent, which hit 23,000 stars on GitHub and received $4.1 million in investments on the same day.
3️⃣ But the risks are real too. High win rates often mean strategies can quickly become ineffective once exposed, or they are carefully crafted “harvesting traps.”
With a 93% win rate, are you willing to compete?
Money on Polymarket is becoming harder to earn—not because the market is tougher, but because your opponents are turning into AI. This round of wealth opportunities belongs to those who first turned AI into a “trading weapon.” Ordinary people’s best move now isn’t blindly copying trades, but understanding that the game has changed—are you the hunter or the prey?