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BTC: 2022 vs 2026 – Repeating history or just a "liquidity shock"? Is the time cycle "compressing"?
2022:
Leg down 1: 20 weeks
Leg down 2: 9 weeks
2026:
Leg down 1: 16 weeks
Leg down 2: ~9 weeks? (forming)
The market is currently moving faster by about 20–25%.
In 2022, the price broke down strongly below the EMA 200 → confirming a bear market, whereas now the price is testing the EMA 200 from above.
"2022 was a clear downtrend.
As for 2026, it currently resembles more a liquidity shock than a complete bear cycle.
👉 The market is becoming more dangerous because it's not certain whether this is the start of a bear market or a shakeout before continuing the trend. The next 1-2 weeks will be very important to see how the situation develops."