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Shouchuang Futures: Decline in Construction Starts, Short Fiber Futures Prices Fluctuate at High Levels
In terms of supply, Zhejiang Donghua has restarted production of 30,000 tons, Shihua has restarted production of 150,000 tons, and Sanfangxiang’s output has increased by 200 tons per day, while some units are undergoing maintenance, leading to a month-on-month decrease of 1.2 percentage points in short fiber operations.
In terms of demand, raw material prices have fluctuated significantly, with polyester yarn rapidly following the ups and downs, but downstream terminals cannot accept high costs, resulting in rare transactions at high polyester yarn prices, and a predominant wait-and-see attitude. Some yarn factories have intentions to reduce or halt production or switch to other products in the future. Short fiber inventory has increased by 1.1 days month-on-month.
In summary, it is expected that in the short term, short fiber futures prices will primarily follow the high volatility of polyester raw material prices, with attention on pricing trends on the cost side.