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Regarding the top choice among the Three Fools of China International Capital Corporation
Based on the current price levels, the priority order is CITIC H > CITIC > Dongxing > Cinda. If the merger is successful, CITIC will be the first to resume trading. According to past experience, the first to resume trading often offers a share-exchange premium of 5% or more to those that resume later. If it fails, CITIC should also fall the least. Dongxing is the same as Cinda: if it succeeds, only the exchange price is the anchor; if it fails, Cinda’s net assets and earnings are both worse than Dongxing’s, so it should be the one that falls the most.