【Is ETH stronger than BTC? A comprehensive analysis of key support levels and rebound potential】



Bitcoin has finally ended its 49-day flag pattern consolidation. When it touched the lower boundary of the flag for the third time, there was no effective resistance. After a brief oscillation, it broke downward, forming a small waterfall decline.

Let's review this market movement, especially the latter half. Each rebound failed to reach important resistance levels, making the market look quite weak. However, influenced by the Iran conflict, the short-term trend is a mix of bulls and bears, changing rapidly, which makes trading quite challenging.

We previously mentioned that a descending flag pattern is meant to be broken downward. The timing is just a matter of when. The overall trend remains bearish, and the current movement aligns with our expectations.

Since the downward flag has been broken, it essentially confirms that this rebound has ended, and the market is returning to a downtrend.

On the daily chart, the MACD has formed a second death cross near the zero line, starting to move below zero into the bearish zone. The pattern looks weak, and the downward momentum is quite strong.

However, I believe it won't continue to fall sharply right away. It will likely oscillate first before heading lower.

There are two reasons: First, Bitcoin is approaching support levels around 64,000 to 65,000, which suggests a rebound is needed. Second, after breaking the descending flag, there is also a reason for a retest to confirm the validity of the breakdown.

But this rebound's initial height is limited, with the first resistance around 67,200. If it can break above and re-enter the flag pattern, there’s a chance to reach 72,000.

Personally, I remain cautious. The probability of encountering resistance at 67,200 and continuing downward is quite high. Be prepared mentally!

Looking further down, the only visible support is the previous low around 60,000. The expectation is that it will break through and dip to the 58,000–59,000 range before rebounding. Once it reaches this zone, the rebound strength should increase significantly. We will analyze specific levels when the price gets there!

Finally, let's talk about Ethereum. ETH's situation is similar to Bitcoin's, but since the last rebound was very strong, its pattern isn't as weak as Bitcoin's. The major support is around the trend line at 1,900, with potential for no new lows. The rebound is also expected to be stronger than Bitcoin's, with resistance around 2,100.

Trading strategy: The 58,000 level isn't far away—just a few points away. For those holding deep positions, be prepared to hold through. For those looking to add or enter the market, 58,000 is a good entry point for a strong buy.
ETH0,05%
BTC-0,6%
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【Fed "Hawk Call" Rings Loud! BTC Breaks Below 73,000, Is the Real Risk Just Beginning?】

The dust settled late night with the Federal Reserve's March 18, 2026 FOMC meeting conclusions: maintaining interest rates unchanged, planning only 1 rate cut for the year, raising inflation expectations, and adding Middle East risk warnings. Dot plot (interest rate path): End of 2026: 3.4% (only 1 rate cut for the year, 25bp), End of 2027: 3.1% (another 1 rate cut, 25bp), 2028 and long-term: 3.1% (long-term rates raised 0.1 percentage points from December).

Post-meeting, Powell released strong hawkish signals: emphasizing no rate cuts if inflation doesn't sustain its decline, while mentioning the possibility of rate hikes!

As mentioned in the previous analysis, my judgment on the market trend is relatively pessimistic, with one core reason being concerns that this meeting would bring more bearish news on top of no rate cuts. As expected, my concerns came true.

Bitcoin reacted early, accelerating after breaking below the 73,000 support level, currently oscillating around 70,000 support [see Chart 1]

Overall, Bitcoin still has some support here. There might be a spike down breaking 70,000, but there's a small rebound requirement. The probability of retracing upward to confirm trendline breakdown is still relatively high, with the current position around 74,000 [see Chart 2]

Looking at larger timeframes, daily divergence has already formed, the 2-day engulfing pattern of one yin swallowing three yangs—these all point to expectations that this rebound may be topping. Therefore, small rebounds aren't recommended for entry [see Chart 3]

Operationally, if you followed our recommendations and locked in profits by reducing positions in the 74,000-75,000 range, you can patiently wait for support opportunities at the bottom edge of the descending flag, positioned around 66,000. This offers both offensive and defensive advantages with high reward-to-risk ratios.

However, pay attention to this: if the flag pattern's bottom edge breaks effectively, there will be a small waterfall, with new lows being highly probable. The 58,000-59,000 range will be a better opportunity to catch the rebound!

Operational Recommendation: Wait for a retest at 74,000 USD, consider exiting, then re-enter at lower levels.

#美联储3月议息会议 $BTC #BTC走势分析 $ETH
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