Reflections on public blockchains in 2026:

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Thoughts on Public Blockchains in 2026:

  1. The strategy of “controlling inflation + high-interest savings + DeFi trio + founder memes + our own Hyperliquid + crazy OTC sales to liquid funds” is no longer viable.

  2. This isn’t just a problem for Monad and MegaETH; Rise, Fogo, and even N1 are facing it. Old chains, depending on the situation, see Sei and Polygon still experimenting, while most have already given up.

  3. Projects incubated on day 1 of public chains still lack loyalty, as only a few founders have options like BNB Chain, Solana, or Base. Most new chains focus on the public chain foundation’s funds. Once they secure backing and raise funds, and after gaining the first wave of community users, founders are motivated: 1) to build their own app chains to support valuation, 2) to switch to other chains and compete.

  4. As a result, some founders no longer call themselves part of a specific ecosystem but refer to the chain as their “GTM Partner.”

  5. Therefore, ecosystem projects are too weak to support, yet if they become too strong, they risk backstabbing their benefactors like Lü Bu.

  6. The original free-range, neutral public chain development model has basically ended. The valuation model based on MEV revenue needs revision (@LeePima). Now, public chains mainly serve as carriers of controllability rather than possibilities, focusing on fintech within a controllable economic system.

  7. Future public chains will be centered power structures, with top-down dev shops and CVCs. The main role of the treasury will be M&A, with aggressive vertical integration rather than ecosystem cultivation. In other words, there won’t be kingmakers like Solana anymore (@mablejiang).

  8. In this sense, BNB Chain, Tempo, and Monad are heading in the same direction, just with different resource allocations and regional contexts.

  9. The final question is: how should we estimate FDV at this point and follow the hype? And since skills are entirely geared toward token-selling, siphoning, and economic models that rely on pumping and dumping, the old ways of getting on the boat may no longer suit the new era.

MON-2,4%
FOGO-3,96%
SEI-2,79%
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