CITIC Securities: Maintain the 2026 lithium price forecast range at 120,000-200,000 yuan/ton

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CITIC Securities research reports indicate that since 2026, lithium prices have increased significantly, with the pace of overseas lithium mine resumption accelerating. Resource-side supply growth may speed up in 2026. However, compared to the explosive demand growth, supply response remains weak. The high prosperity of battery demand and the continuous decline in industry chain inventories are expected to continue supporting lithium prices. Additionally, positive industry signals are frequent, such as purchase agreements with floor prices, lithium concentrate auctions, and sales of low-grade lithium products, which confirm industry confidence in future lithium prices. The forecast range for lithium prices in 2026 remains at 120,000 to 200,000 yuan per ton, with a recommendation to monitor the upside risk from additional supply disruptions.

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