The day the three oil giants hit the daily limit, the backend private messages exploded.

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After the market close, a fan asked me in the backend: Today the index went up, but I lost money. Am I too bad?
That’s a good question.

First, look at the data. Today, 1,100 stocks rose, 4,200 fell. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.47%, with a trading volume of 3.02 trillion yuan.
The index went up, but 80% of stocks declined. This is a typical market where the index rises but individual stocks lose money.

Why is this happening?
Because today’s gains came from the three big oil companies. China National Petroleum, China National Offshore Oil, and Sinopec—three giants with trillion-dollar market caps—collectively hit the daily limit for the first time in history.
When one hits the limit, the index rises. But what about your stocks? Should they go up or down?
I’ve seen this kind of market many times.

White Line and Yellow Line

Experienced traders know there are two lines on the intraday chart.
The white line is the weighted index, representing large-cap stocks. The yellow line is the equal-weighted index, representing most stocks.
Today, the white line surged upward, while the yellow line declined. What does this mean? It indicates that only a few large-cap stocks are rising, most stocks are falling.

Because today’s gains came from the three oil giants. When one hits the limit, the index goes up. But what about your stocks? Should they go up or down?

This isn’t your fault. The market structure has changed.
I’ve been trading stocks for over ten years and have seen countless days like this. The 2017 “Beautiful 50” rally was also characterized by rising indices and falling stocks. Many people complained that they earned the index but lost money.
Actually, it’s not the market’s problem; it’s that your stocks didn’t hit the right rhythm.

Why did the three oil giants hit the limit?

Let’s start from the weekend.
Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz. How important is this strait? About 30% of the world’s oil passes through it. Iran’s move is like choking the oil supply.
So today, the oil and gas sector collectively exploded. The three oil giants led the charge, hitting the daily limit.
But honestly, trading oil and gas stocks now is tricky.

Why?

First, oil stocks have width but no height. The three giants hit the limit, but their large market caps mean the probability of hitting the limit again tomorrow is low. A gap-up opening is likely.
Second, the oil and gas sector is heavily influenced by futures. How crude oil futures move tonight will determine tomorrow’s sector trend. If futures rise, the sector continues; if futures fall, it’s over.
Third, war-related news is usually a short-term wave. Once the news breaks, the trend is mostly set. Those chasing the trend are likely to get caught on the sidelines. So my advice is: watch the oil and gas sector this time, don’t chase.

Military Industry and AI Are Expectations Gaps

Today, a sector worth noting is Military Industry AI.
The logic is simple. The US used AI tools for the airstrike on Iran—this is public information. Combining military industry with AI creates a significant expectations gap.
I looked at the market, and stocks like Huaru Technology and Guanshang Technology were hit with a 20cm volume suppression at the open. If you could buy these early in the morning, you’d be happy by the afternoon.
I believe there’s still room in the military AI sector. But don’t chase high; wait for divergence opportunities.

How to view tomorrow

Watch two lines.
One is the resource line. Oil, gas, non-ferrous metals, chemicals—today’s main theme. But pay attention to futures and war news. When variables change, the logic changes.
The other is the computing power line. This sector was suppressed by war today, but funds didn’t leave. With Middle East news settling, capital is likely to flow back into computing power.
Choose one of the two lines and wait for divergence opportunities. Don’t do both, or you risk getting caught in the middle.

Final Words

After the market closed today, I sat in front of my computer reviewing private messages.
One by one, I scrolled through them until my fingers ached.
Someone asked: Brother Bei, the index went up today but I lost money. Am I too bad?
What made me pause and think for a long time was this:
I lost 30% this year. Can I recover?
I typed a paragraph, then deleted it. Typed again, then deleted again.
Because I didn’t know how to answer. Everyone’s situation is different, and I can’t give a standard answer.

Trading stocks takes patience. The more anxious you are, the more you lose; the more you lose, the more anxious. Eventually, your mindset collapses, and so does your account.
I know a friend who trades trend-following stocks. He only makes three to five trades a year, always with heavy positions. Last year, he gained 50%.
I also know another friend who chases and kills every rise and fall. He trades over 200 times a year but ended up losing 20%.
Trading isn’t about who’s faster; it’s about who’s steadier.

I woke up at 4 a.m. today, watching crude oil futures on the overseas markets. After the close, I felt more at peace.
Because I know the sun will rise tomorrow as usual, and the market will open as usual.
All I can do is focus on my own trading, write each review carefully, and accompany everyone who trusts me.
Slow down, it’s okay.
See you tomorrow.

Risk reminder: This article is only a personal review record and does not constitute investment advice. The stock market involves risks; invest cautiously.