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[Red Envelope] Second Boss's 2.5 Gambler's Emotional Reasoning Script! Detailed thoughts on transforming from a gambler to a siphoning boss!
What’s the use of our approach of abandoning illusions and focusing only on reality[Taogu Ba]
Yesterday I told everyone not to get excited just because others are buying billions. Aerospace has tricked people before. The day before yesterday, we also said that capital is heavily invested in short-term gold because it has been beaten down a lot. You can see today if you chase in, you’ll just die.
What is so-called seat premium? The so-called halo? They are just embellishments when the market is good. When the market is bad, they will become targets for everyone to criticize. We’ve always talked about casino theory. We only look at the present, not what gamblers say. Even if there is a gambler who hits 10 consecutive wins, so what? It’s like playing Texas Hold’em—you bet most of your chips to gamble on the last card making a straight. What do you think is the probability of turning 10,000 hands into a straight?
Abandon illusions. We only look at what current capital is doing. Yes, they might have the initiative. They might run early. But does that matter? For us, only stability is most important. What is stability? It’s about high probability. Betting 10,000 hands with a high win rate. I play big cards—what can you do to me? I won’t play AK; I only play big pairs besides my straight. What can you do to me? This doesn’t even require collecting the pot’s bottom—it’s a natural advantage.
I’m here for life, not to see who’s the coolest. The philosophy I share with everyone has always been this. Our goal is always to find a way to take some commission or tips when gamblers get overly confident. Young and proud, it may seem like there’s no future, but we can survive until the end, with great scholars debating for us.
So what do we see today? The theme can’t keep up, but the capital activity is starting to appear. We didn’t have big names today, and I didn’t share or do anything during the trading session.
Do you think there will be a large-scale slaughter of gamblers tomorrow? No, they will only open slightly lower. A few points—considering a -10 start—are already numb to them. Most likely, they will cut here and then continue to chase new themes.
If a theme takes off, then it’s the moment when gamblers are feeling ecstatic. So what should we do here?
Starting from our limited funds, think about whether we are willing to gamble with them for a bit. Position size definitely needs to be controlled.
It’s just that doing so now makes it very easy to capture the big profits when the follow-up rally happens! If it fails, how much are we willing to pay without emotional fluctuations? I hope this is the lesson for brothers who read my articles every day.
The current theme is unknown. What is known is that tomorrow is definitely not a day for large positions.
If we do any, we will continue to share real-time during the trading session.
Brothers, give tips, like, top posts, and get it going! We are definitely good at playing the big probability scripts every day!