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2026-2-3 Volatile Main Uptrend 1 Initiation
[Taogu Ba]
Today’s volume contraction, emotional index resonance with a big bullish candle, confirms the end of the retreat! So today can basically be considered the first day of the main oscillation upward wave 1, unless there is a sharp decline tomorrow. The main trend is confirmed.
Characteristics of the oscillation upward wave 1: It’s difficult for sectors to sustain strength for more than 3 days, so if it rises today, it’s unlikely to be in the top ranks tomorrow; most likely, it will be a selling point.
Now let’s analyze the strong sectors today.
This morning’s strongest sector was Commercial Aerospace, including the space photovoltaic branch. It shows strong initiative. This is a concept favored by speculative funds, often moving in a way that bypasses typical patterns.
However, after the index turned green, the resonance and rebound led to a rally driven mainly by institutional players in AI hardware, primarily CPO and optical fiber concepts, data centers. Especially the optical fiber concept, which has hit new highs, so pay attention.
Next, focus on whether the rally is driven by speculative funds in a relay style or by institutional trend-following, which is the main profit driver.
I’m not good at institutional style, so I won’t discuss it. Let’s talk about what I like—Aerospace, haha.
Tomorrow’s plan:
Tomorrow’s emotional leader:
TianTong Co.: Shipping, Aerospace + AI hardware. A big gap up indicates that even if there are disagreements, there is room for activity.
The best scenario is a high open, high hold, and high attack, continuing to shrink volume and upgrade to strength.
If it opens high and then crashes, watch for risks.