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Ethereum surged to 3234 yesterday but faced resistance and pulled back. It has now broken below the daily Bollinger Band middle line (around 3180) and the previous low. The EMA30 moving average also failed to hold. Overall, the bears currently hold the upper hand, and the upward momentum brewed in the early session has been broken.
What is the key judgment for today? The rebound was met with resistance at the resistance level, and the market has returned to the oscillation at the lower end of the range.
**Short-term trading ideas:**
If a rebound occurs within the 3193-3230 range, consider gradually opening short positions. The downward targets are sequentially 3160, 3130, and 3100, which are key price levels.
However, it is important to note that a strong support line has formed at 3100-3120. Only when the price falls into this zone and is accompanied by long lower shadows or bullish divergence signals should it be considered a genuine opportunity to go long.
**Risk control is the most critical:** If the rebound can hold above 3250 (yesterday’s high), it indicates that the bulls are regaining strength. In this case, short positions must be stopped out decisively to avoid being fooled by false breakouts.