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BTC fell to a low of 94,300 yesterday, which just touched the previously set technical correction target. More notably, the current order book has begun to see accumulated buy orders, and the selling pressure from bears has shrunk by nearly half compared to before. From a weekly perspective, the overall trend remains bullish.
After the weekend close and entering next week's trading, BTC is expected to continue testing the 100,000 level. This is not unfounded—technically, the current rebound trajectory aligns closely with the expected wave B. According to the larger Fibonacci retracement levels, the 0.236 level roughly corresponds to around 100,000, where a weekly head and shoulders reversal pattern is likely forming.
However, this also presents risk points. Once the price approaches 100,000, three signals should be closely monitored: first, whether there is an accumulation of extremely large sell orders on the order book; second, whether the daily chart shows divergence between price and volume (rising prices with decreasing volume); third, the resonance between the weekly and daily charts.
If all three conditions occur simultaneously, it would be a golden window for medium-term shorting—at that point, both BTC and ETH could be considered for large short positions. In other words, 100,000 is not the final target but a zone to be cautious of in the ongoing game.
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Another head and shoulders top, another shorting window. Man, I heard this kind of talk last year.
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Divergence between volume and price + accumulation of sell orders—how likely is it that both happen at the same time?
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They sound very professional, but I still only know how to chase rallies and sell on dips haha.
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When it really hits 100,000, there will be no signals. Could it be another suppression?
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Accumulated buy orders in the order book are a sign of institutional support, the bears have already backed down.
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Wait, this logic is a bit backwards... accumulated buy orders but still warning about shorting?
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If the weekly chart is bullish, just buy. Why wait until 100,000 to act?
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B wave, Fibonacci, head and shoulders top... I just want to know if this time I won’t get cut.
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Every time they talk about a golden window, how many people got cut?
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What does it mean when half of the short selling pressure diminishes? It means the bottom is near.