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The signals at the start of the year are quite strong. What does this wave of actions by the central bank mean? Are rate cuts and reserve ratio reductions really coming?
From the information revealed at the press conference, it’s clear that the Fed has set the direction for rate cuts. Meanwhile, our banks’ financing costs are steadily decreasing, and the exchange rate has support. The window for a shift to an easing monetary policy has opened, so there’s no surprise there.
Currently, the average reserve requirement ratio is only 6.3%, leaving room for policy adjustments. Plus, with long-term deposit refunds concentrated and tool rates also being lowered, banks will have a better time, and the pressure on interest margins can finally ease. If market liquidity truly becomes loose, where will the money go? Historically, it always flows to the most vibrant places.
Sentiment is starting to heat up, and the ignition point of a new cycle might be just around the corner. Everyone is waiting for the moment when the market truly kicks off.
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