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The market has looked a bit chaotic recently, but if you look closely at where the funds are going, the logic is actually quite clear.
Funds are shifting positions, not disappearing. That’s the key.
Before the implementation of tariff policies, risk appetite began to differentiate. US stock futures are retreating, but the Nikkei has hit new highs again. While US bonds are strengthening, Japanese bonds are under pressure. This kind of divergence is very interesting.
Looking at commodities—metals are soaring across the board, silver has broken new highs, tin and copper are also hitting record levels. Only crude oil is a bit weak.
On the surface, it seems chaotic, but the direction of funds is actually quite obvious. When the market begins "rebalancing," it’s usually not short-term emotional fluctuations, but deeper asset allocation adjustments. These signals are sometimes more worth paying attention to than the index itself. During this sensitive window before the tariff ruling, understanding these changes in fund flow is very important for interpreting subsequent market trends.