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The Federal Reserve's recent remarks have completely stirred the market.
In the past few days, central bank officials across the country have taken turns to speak, with so much information that it's almost unbelievable. Richmond Fed President Barkin frankly stated that although inflation is still somewhat high, there is no sign of it continuing to rise for now. Following that, Atlanta Fed President Bostic delivered a major message: inflation pressures are easing, and there is a good chance to return to the 2% target by the end of the year.
More importantly, Bostic believes that the current interest rate level is already hovering in the neutral zone, and there is little need to cut rates further. He positions the current policy as being precisely balanced between tightening and easing. He also specifically mentioned that the latest inflation data is encouraging, which further boosts expectations for a soft landing of the economy.
But things are not that simple. House Speaker Johnson suddenly spoke out, demanding that the Department of Justice continue to investigate Federal Reserve Chair Powell. His logic is that if Powell is innocent, the investigation will prove it. This political maneuver instantly triggered a market frenzy—what else is hidden behind Washington and the Fed?
The current situation looks like this: the downward trend of inflation seems to have stabilized, and the Fed has no plans to cut rates in the short term, but political uncertainties still exist.
The question is, will all this really unfold as the Fed expects? Can Powell successfully weather this political storm? Will inflation this year fall back to 2% as scheduled? These all need time to verify.
What do you think about the future development of this situation?