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The market snapshot at 4:30 AM: Ethereum price has already anchored at 3206. The northbound rally that started from the low of 3070 has achieved a profit increase of over 100 points.
The key question now is whether this rally can break through the 3200 integer level to further expand its gains. Based on current performance, although it just slightly pierced 3200, there is still a gap to the expected target. Bullish momentum signs remain. However, risks are also accumulating—overbought alerts have already been triggered, and any volatility could trigger a reversal.
**Take profit or continue? It depends on the situation**
If you are a trader who cannot hold positions, now is a reasonable point to take profits: lock in the gains already made and prevent unrealized profits from turning into unrealized losses. But if you have the psychological resilience to withstand short-term fluctuations, continuing to hold positions and waiting for the northbound target is not a bad choice. For those who haven't entered the market yet, do not chase the high. Opportunities often appear at the next retracement during the southward correction. Rushing to enter will only turn you into a "leek" in the market.
**Daily chart: a tense pattern**
From the daily K-line chart, the price range is locked between 3090 and 3215. The EMA trend indicator is still in contraction, which usually indicates the market will oscillate around 3200, commonly known as "boiling the frog." The upward momentum has not completely dissipated, but the 3000 level still faces the possibility of being tested downward.
The MACD volume accumulation is very obvious, with DIF and DEA successfully breaking above zero and stabilizing. The middle band of the Bollinger Bands at 3065 provides good support, with the upper band resistance at 3285. The trading approach is quite straightforward: as long as the northbound trend direction remains unchanged, you can continue to hold; once the bullish momentum is exhausted, the opportunity for a southward layout will truly arrive.
**Four-hour chart: U-shaped reversal has been completed**
Switching to the four-hour chart, the U-shaped reversal pattern has been perfectly completed, breaking through the key resistance at 3170 in one go. Now, this level has turned into support. The MACD also shows signs of volume increase, with DIF and DEA continuing to operate at high levels after breaking above zero, indicating that short-term bullish strength still exists.
Keep an eye on the upper Bollinger Band at 3175, with support at 3120 on the middle band. It’s important to note that the short-term K-line has already entered an extreme overbought zone, which means a reversal could happen at any time—be mentally prepared.
**The most prudent trading plan**
A suggestion for traders currently holding positions: take partial profits at high points by selling some of your holdings, locking in gains; continue to participate with the remaining positions. This way, you can secure profits while still engaging in potential future gains. Most importantly, it greatly reduces psychological pressure and actual risk. This is the correct attitude for long-term survival in the crypto space.