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Polymarket bettors currently believe there is a 54% chance that the U.S. will launch a military strike against Iran before January 31, with related bets totaling approximately $13.7 million. Previously, the U.S. issued a virtual embassy travel warning, urging American citizens to leave Iran amid ongoing anti-government protests. The market assesses the probability that the U.S. will conduct drone, missile, or airstrikes on Iranian territory as "Yes."