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Looking at the latest industry data, I found that the offline cash-to-crypto on-ramps are far from being "obsolete" as imagined.
**The ATM market is actually accelerating growth**
The number of global crypto ATMs is expected to reach 37,000 to 39,000 by the end of 2024, and it continues to expand in 2025, with a growth rate between 3.8% and 7%. Some research institutions predict that the annual growth rate could reach 40% to 62.5% in the future. Although some inefficient machines will be shut down by the end of 2025, the overall installation and transaction volume are actually increasing, especially in the US market (accounting for over 80% of the global share). In terms of market size, it is estimated to be around $300 million to $400 million in 2025, and is expected to reach $1.2 billion to $1.5 billion by around 2030. This indicates that demand has not weakened but is instead moving toward mainstream adoption.
**Some user groups simply cannot do without cash channels**
There are still tens of millions of adults in the US who do not have bank accounts or lack trust in traditional banking systems. These people are accustomed to cash transactions and need a fast, anonymous, and instant channel to convert cash into crypto assets. Buying coins via mobile apps often requires KYC verification and bank card binding, which creates barriers for them.
Another group prioritizes privacy—they simply do not want to leave transaction traces on centralized exchanges. Using ATMs for small cash transactions offers greater anonymity and meets the needs of this segment. From this perspective, this market is far from saturated.