The Federal Reserve's next policy meeting is scheduled for January 28-29 (results to be announced at 3 a.m. Beijing time on the 29th). The market generally expects interest rates to remain unchanged.

According to CME data, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut this time is only about 5%, with a 95% chance of holding steady. On the other hand, Polymarket's prediction is more aggressive — only a 2.1% chance of a rate cut and a 97.4% chance of no change. However, the situation in March might be different, with a roughly 29.6% chance of a cumulative 25 basis point cut, giving traders more room for imagination.

Honestly, don’t always wait for rate cuts to save the market. At the start of the new year, this current situation is actually the best environment for practice. The market is highly volatile, offering opportunities for both bulls and bears. This is not the time to sit and wait, but a real test of trading skills.

Technical traders thrive in this kind of market. Chaos in the market is actually a golden opportunity to build your trading system and accumulate practical experience. Many people have completed their transformation in such high-volatility environments, evolving from retail mindset to systematic trading, ultimately achieving steady growth.

The core advice is simple: don’t be swayed by short-term market noise. Stick to your trading discipline, use this period to hone your execution skills, and that’s the real way to gain an edge. Steady progress and start your own path of value appreciation.