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What will Bitcoin do in the near future? Based on on-chain data and technical indicators collected on January 11, it is highly likely that in the short term, Bitcoin will continue to fluctuate within the range of $89,500 to $92,000.
Currently, Bitcoin is priced around $90,673 (data as of 10:00 on January 11), with a 24-hour volatility between $89,343 and $91,838, basically in a range-bound pattern without a clear directional trend. From the support perspective, primary support is at $89,500 to $90,000 (where the liquidation cluster is located), with secondary support around $86,000; on the resistance side, primary resistance is at $91,000 to $92,000, and secondary resistance is near the upper Bollinger Band on the daily chart at $93,605.
From an on-chain perspective, exchanges have recently been in net outflow, and institutional holdings remain relatively stable. Interestingly, the MVRV Z-score is currently around 3.00, not yet entering the overbought zone, indicating that selling pressure is not particularly intense and that the price has some support. Technically, the 4-hour RSI is at 45.3, showing a short-term bearish bias, and the MACD is also bearish; however, the daily RSI remains at 52, indicating a neutral state and that the medium-term structure remains intact.
On the macro front, the Federal Reserve's recent rate cut expectations are low, but the U.S. government continues to increase Bitcoin reserves and reduce circulating supply, which provides support for the price from a supply and demand perspective.
Overall, in the next 1 to 3 days, Bitcoin is likely to oscillate within the range of $89,500 to $92,000, with volatility gradually increasing. If a breakout occurs, upward targets could be around $93,000, while downward moves might test $88,000. Trading advice is to build positions gradually within support zones, reduce positions at resistance levels, strictly control position sizes, set stop-loss at $88,000, and take profit at $92,000.