2026-01-09 03:00:48

During the Black Friday cycle, Bitcoin experienced a sharp decline. When it broke below $90,000 yesterday, many long positions suffered losses. Fortunately, the Federal Reserve's decision-makers then projected a 150 basis point rate cut in 2026, which stabilized the situation, and the coin price quickly rebounded, regaining lost ground.

Today's key focus is the non-farm payroll data. If the unemployment rate exceeds 4.7% or new employment figures are far below expectations, the probability of a rate cut in January will significantly increase. Once this expectation materializes, the subsequent rebound momentum will be quite strong.

From a technical perspective, as long as the daily support level holds and is not broken, the reversal from three consecutive bearish candles to bullish indicates that the correction is essentially over. Continuing with the initial monthly outlook, there is a chance for this wave of rebound to push towards $100,000, with the time window likely after the rate cut policy is actually implemented.

Current trading ideas:
#MSCI未排除数字资产财库企业纳入范围 Consider long positions around 90500 and 90000, targeting the range of 93000 to 94000.
$BTC Position around 3100 and 3050, with targets pointing to 3200 to 3260.
$ETH Keep an eye on the rhythm.

The actions of the digital asset treasury company are worth noting, as the market is redefining the logic of crypto asset allocation.

BTC1,29%

ETH0,02%

SOL-0,46%

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SmartContractRebel

· 01-09 12:13

Yesterday's sharp decline was really intense, couldn't hold 90,000, so crashing. Luckily, the Federal Reserve intervened in time to stabilize the market, or else I might have had a heart attack. Is non-farm payroll data this important today? Feels like every time it's mentioned, the prediction is always off. The Treasury Department company definitely deserves attention, but it still depends on policy trends; otherwise, it's just storytelling. I'm still cautious about long positions at this BTC level. If it rebounds to 93K, it's time to sell. Greed doesn't lead to good outcomes. What's going on with SOL lately? Feels like it's lacking presence.

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SmartContractPlumber

· 01-09 03:30

Non-farm data is the real trigger; whether this expected gap can truly be realized depends on the employment figures. Previously, those "certain" interest rate cut expectations were repeatedly dashed, and now I have only two words for the Federal Reserve's words—distrust. The Treasury company's allocation is indeed interesting, but be cautious of permission traps in the contract upgrade logic. The most easily overlooked aspect of enterprise-level applications is access control vulnerabilities. The lesson from a leading project in the past is still vivid.

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PonziDetector

· 01-09 03:18

Black Friday plunge rescued again, this script feels a bit familiar, relying on rate cut expectations to survive each time. Before rate cuts are implemented, it's all just on paper; when the data falls short of expectations, it's all for nothing. The long-term logic is for the treasury companies to enter MSCI; in the short term, this rebound is easy to trap. ETH around 3100 may still need some consolidation. Can Bitcoin really reach 100,000? I feel this expectation might be a bit too optimistic.

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0xTherapist

· 01-09 03:09

Black Friday's sell-off was really fierce. Breaking 90,000 had my heart in my throat at the time. Luckily, the Federal Reserve stepped in to save the day. Non-farm payroll data must be closely watched today. If the unemployment rate rises and interest rate cuts follow, it will stabilize the market. The rebound potential should be quite good then. The Treasury Department's sector is indeed interesting. Institutions are starting to take us seriously, and it feels like the sentiment is shifting. $100,000 is no longer a dream; it all depends on when the interest rate cuts will actually be implemented. I've already started positioning myself at this level for BTC, with targets of 93,000-94,000.

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ShamedApeSeller

· 01-09 03:06

After all the Black Friday chaos, it's still Powell who saves the market. The bulls are really struggling. When it broke below 90,000 yesterday, I was on the edge of my seat. Luckily, the rebound was strong. Non-farm payrolls are the main event; once the unemployment data is out, we'll know if rate cuts in January are certain. As long as the technical support holds, it's just a matter of time before breaking 100,000 with a bullish rally. The Treasury and corporate sectors definitely require attention; the logic behind large institutions entering is changing.

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