#密码资产动态追踪 On the evening of January 9th Beijing time at 9:30 PM, the US December non-farm payroll data will be released, a report that often stirs the entire market.

The market expects about 60,000 new jobs added, with the unemployment rate possibly dropping to 4.5%. However, the previous ADP data only showed an increase of 41,000, which is clearly below expectations—what does this indicate? The employment market is starting to weaken.

The logic here is clear: weaker-than-expected data → market bets that the Federal Reserve will find it easier to cut interest rates → US dollar under pressure, gold strengthening. Conversely, if the non-farm data exceeds expectations, the rate cut expectations will be suppressed, and gold will be hammered.

From a trading perspective, the key zone for Bitcoin is around 91,500-92,000. If the non-farm data indeed shows weakness, consider shorting in this area, targeting 89,600-87,800. The same applies to Ethereum, with 3,160-3,190 as the key resistance level, and the downward targets at 3,100-3,000.

But here’s an important point: never guess the data prematurely and blindly enter the market. Wait until the data is released, then decide the direction based on the actual versus expected difference. Follow the trend and always prioritize risk control. The volatility of $BTC and $ETH depends heavily on the repeated confirmation of such macroeconomic data.