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The current market performance is mixed. BTC is quoted at approximately $91,200, down 1.7%; ETH is around $3,160, down 3.1%; XRP is under pressure, falling to about $2.16. The fear index remains at 29, indicating fear territory, with the RWA sector leading declines by over 3%, while DeFi and Layer2 follow suit, and SocialFi sees a slight increase. Notably, short-term selling pressure on BTC has reached its strongest level since December 23.
On the institutional side, positive signals have emerged. Metaplanet recently invested approximately $53 million to acquire 463 BTC, bringing its total holdings to 17,595 BTC, worth about $2 billion; Empery Digital and Coinsilium Group are also increasing their BTC holdings; Ethereum spot ETF saw a weekly net inflow of over $300 million.
Analyst firm Bernstein has issued an optimistic outlook, stating that the market has found its bottom, with target prices set at $150,000 in 2026 and $200,000 in 2027. Although short-term selling pressure is evident, the derivatives risk index remains neutral, making it a good time for long-term investors to dollar-cost average.
On the policy front, the US Senate will hold a hearing this month to discuss the Crypto Market Structure Act, focusing on resolving regulatory jurisdiction disputes between the SEC and CFTC. Technologically, Ethereum Layer2 has just completed the BPO-1 upgrade, increasing blob capacity, and rollup transaction fees are expected to decrease.